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CN118737313A - A real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion - Google Patents

A real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion Download PDF

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CN118737313A
CN118737313A CN202410707189.1A CN202410707189A CN118737313A CN 118737313 A CN118737313 A CN 118737313A CN 202410707189 A CN202410707189 A CN 202410707189A CN 118737313 A CN118737313 A CN 118737313A
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刘畅
张学民
宋相满
李长新
周平
王鸿宇
杨燚
赵立峰
董慧
黄少文
王成镇
杨恒
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Shandong Iron and Steel Co Ltd
Northeastern University China
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Northeastern University China
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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,涉及转炉炼钢领域。包括基于图像、音频、烟气数据、原料信息、辅料添加数据、吹氧参数等多源数据进行特征融合构建训练数据集,对现有的XGBoost算法进行训练,训练好的XGBoost模型作为钢水质量实时预测模型,模型的输出作为下一时刻钢水温度和钢水碳含量的预测值;将新一炉次的吹炼实时数据传入钢水质量实时预测模型中,预测出当前钢水实时碳含量和钢水实时温度。相比于使用单一来源数据进行钢水质量实时预报的方法,本发明方法综合利用转炉常见的多源数据对转炉炼钢吹炼过程钢水质量进行实时预报,具有抗干扰能力强、实时性好、精度高、可为转炉智能化提供支持等优点。

The present invention discloses a method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, and relates to the field of converter steelmaking. It includes constructing a training data set based on feature fusion of multi-source data such as images, audio, flue gas data, raw material information, auxiliary material addition data, oxygen blowing parameters, etc., training the existing XGBoost algorithm, using the trained XGBoost model as a real-time prediction model for molten steel quality, and the output of the model as the predicted value of the molten steel temperature and carbon content at the next moment; transferring the real-time blowing data of a new batch into the real-time prediction model for molten steel quality, and predicting the current real-time carbon content and real-time temperature of the molten steel. Compared with the method of using a single source of data to predict the quality of molten steel in real time, the method of the present invention comprehensively utilizes the common multi-source data of the converter to predict the quality of molten steel in real time during the converter steelmaking blowing process, and has the advantages of strong anti-interference ability, good real-time performance, high precision, and support for converter intelligence.

Description

一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法A real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及转炉炼钢领域,具体涉及一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法。The invention relates to the field of converter steelmaking, and in particular to a real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion.

背景技术Background Art

转炉炼钢产量占钢铁总产量的70%以上,是现今世界上的主流炼钢技术。其中,转炉炼钢过程中的钢水质量控制直接关系到出钢钢水的质量。由于转炉炼钢过程的生产环境存在着温度高、烟尘浓度大等问题,制约着对生产过程的实时监测。目前,转炉炼钢过程的解析方式有烟气分析技术、炉口火焰分析技术、人工经验进行判断、副枪测量技术等。其中应用最多的是副枪测量技术。但该方法存在破坏生产连续性、增加炼钢成本、取样点具有单点局限性等缺陷,潜在或直接影响钢厂成品的产量和品质。随着炼钢企业发展和工艺要求提升,当前的炼钢生产过程控制方法主要存在以下问题亟待解决:转炉生产过程钢水碳温的控制和炉况的实时监测和实时预报,以及最佳操作模式的确定。The output of converter steelmaking accounts for more than 70% of the total steel production, and it is the mainstream steelmaking technology in the world today. Among them, the quality control of molten steel in the converter steelmaking process is directly related to the quality of the tapped molten steel. Due to the high temperature and high smoke concentration in the production environment of the converter steelmaking process, the real-time monitoring of the production process is restricted. At present, the analytical methods of the converter steelmaking process include flue gas analysis technology, furnace mouth flame analysis technology, manual experience judgment, and auxiliary gun measurement technology. Among them, the auxiliary gun measurement technology is the most widely used. However, this method has defects such as destroying production continuity, increasing steelmaking costs, and single-point limitations of sampling points, which potentially or directly affect the output and quality of steel mill finished products. With the development of steelmaking enterprises and the improvement of process requirements, the current steelmaking production process control methods mainly have the following problems to be solved: control of molten steel carbon temperature in the converter production process, real-time monitoring and real-time prediction of furnace conditions, and determination of the best operating mode.

目前对转炉炼钢过程中钢水质量的实时预测手段大多都仅仅利用了单一的检测方式,未能完全利用转炉的多种检测手段,且未将目前转炉常见的多种检测数据进行充分整合利用。多源数据特征融合从不同的数据源中收集、整理和清洗数据,以建立一致、完整的数据集,可以提供更全面的数据视角,多源数据特征融合还可以减少单一数据源带来的误差和不准确性。当单一技术手段数据出现异常或缺失时,容易导致实时预测失准,可以通过多源数据特征识别和矫正数据中的错误和重复项,通过提高预测精度,提升钢水质量、降低炼钢成本。At present, most of the real-time prediction methods for molten steel quality in the converter steelmaking process only use a single detection method, fail to fully utilize the various detection methods of the converter, and fail to fully integrate and utilize the various common detection data of the converter. Multi-source data feature fusion collects, organizes and cleans data from different data sources to establish a consistent and complete data set, which can provide a more comprehensive data perspective. Multi-source data feature fusion can also reduce the errors and inaccuracies caused by a single data source. When a single technical method has abnormal or missing data, it is easy to cause real-time prediction inaccuracy. Multi-source data features can be used to identify and correct errors and duplications in the data, improve the prediction accuracy, improve the quality of molten steel, and reduce steelmaking costs.

发明内容Summary of the invention

针对现有技术存在的问题,本发明提供一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预报方法,旨在基于多源数据进行特征融合对转炉炼钢吹炼过程钢水质量进行实时预报,为现场冶炼生产提供参考,提高生产效率和产品质量,为转炉智能化提供支持。In view of the problems existing in the prior art, the present invention provides a real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, aiming to make real-time prediction of molten steel quality in the converter steelmaking blowing process based on feature fusion of multi-source data, provide reference for on-site smelting production, improve production efficiency and product quality, and provide support for converter intelligence.

本发明的技术方案是:The technical solution of the present invention is:

一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,该方法包括如下步骤:A method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, the method comprising the following steps:

步骤1:构建训练数据集;Step 1: Build a training dataset;

步骤2:利用训练数据集对现有的XGBoost模型进行训练,训练好的XGBoost模型作为钢水质量实时预测模型,并将模型的输出作为下一时刻的钢水温度和钢水碳含量的预测值;Step 2: Use the training data set to train the existing XGBoost model, use the trained XGBoost model as the real-time prediction model for molten steel quality, and use the output of the model as the predicted value of molten steel temperature and molten steel carbon content at the next moment;

步骤3:将新一炉次的吹炼实时数据传入钢水质量实时预测模型中,预测出当前钢水实时碳含量和钢水实时温度。Step 3: The real-time blowing data of the new batch is transferred into the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality to predict the current real-time carbon content and temperature of the molten steel.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,步骤1包括如下步骤:Further, according to the method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, step 1 includes the following steps:

步骤1.1:采集相关生产数据,包括在转炉炼钢过程中的入炉条件数据、吹氧数据、加料数据、炉口温度数据、挡火墙外侧的音频数据、转炉烟道的烟气成分数据、副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量和钢水温度;Step 1.1: Collect relevant production data, including the furnace entry condition data, oxygen blowing data, charging data, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data outside the fire wall, flue gas composition data of the converter flue, and carbon content and temperature of molten steel at the end of blowing measured by the auxiliary gun;

步骤1.2:基于步骤1.1采集的相关生产数据,结合转炉反应热动力学原理计算出吹炼过程中的实时钢水碳含量和钢水温度;Step 1.2: Based on the relevant production data collected in step 1.1 and combined with the thermodynamic principle of converter reaction, the real-time carbon content and temperature of molten steel during blowing are calculated;

步骤1.3:从步骤1.1和步骤1.2获取的数据中剔除异常数据和不完整炉次对应的数据,剩余的数据构成训练数据集。Step 1.3: Remove abnormal data and data corresponding to incomplete heats from the data obtained in steps 1.1 and 1.2, and the remaining data constitute the training data set.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,所述入炉条件数据包括铁水成分、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量;所述吹氧数据包括累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量和实时氧枪高度;所述加料数据包括累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量和累计冷料加料量;所述烟气成分数据包括CO含量、CO2含量数据。Furthermore, according to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, the furnace entering condition data includes molten iron composition, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, and scrap steel weight; the oxygen blowing data includes cumulative oxygen flow rate, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow rate, and real-time oxygen gun height; the feeding data includes cumulative limestone feeding amount, cumulative dolomite feeding amount, and cumulative cold material feeding amount; the flue gas composition data includes CO content and CO2 content data.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,实时钢水碳含量的计算公式如下:Furthermore, according to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, the calculation formula of real-time molten steel carbon content is as follows:

w(C)=0.1×(∑C0-∑Cde)/Wm (3)w(C)=0.1×(∑C 0 -∑C de )/W m (3)

其中,w(C)为熔池中碳的质量分数,%;∑C0为入炉条件数据中的铁水C的质量,kg;∑Cde为连续脱碳量的总和,t。Wherein, w(C) is the mass fraction of carbon in the molten pool, %; ∑C0 is the mass of molten iron C in the furnace charging condition data, kg; ∑Cde is the sum of the continuous decarburization amount, t.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,钢水温度的计算公式如下:Furthermore, according to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, the calculation formula of molten steel temperature is as follows:

其中,λ为初始温度修正系数,K;T为钢水温度,K;F10为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F11为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO流量,m3/s;f1为C的活度系数;w1为钢水中C的含量,%。Wherein, λ is the initial temperature correction coefficient, K; T is the molten steel temperature, K; F10 is the CO2 flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; F11 is the CO flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; f1 is the activity coefficient of C; w1 is the C content in molten steel, %.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,在利用训练数据集对现有的XGBoost模型进行训练时,将训练数据集中的铁水成分、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量、累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、实时氧枪高度、累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量、累计冷料加料量、炉口温度数据、音频数据、烟气分析仪测得的烟气CO含量、烟气CO2含量作为训练特征;将训练数据集中由计算得到的钢水实时碳含量、钢水实时温度以及副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量和钢水温度作为训练标签。Furthermore, according to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, when the existing XGBoost model is trained using a training data set, the molten iron composition, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, scrap steel weight, cumulative oxygen flow rate, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow rate, real-time oxygen gun height, cumulative limestone addition amount, cumulative dolomite addition amount, cumulative cold material addition amount, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data, flue gas CO content and flue gas CO2 content measured by a flue gas analyzer in the training data set are used as training features; the real-time carbon content of the molten steel, the real-time temperature of the molten steel calculated in the training data set, and the carbon content and temperature of the molten steel at the end of blowing measured by the auxiliary gun are used as training labels.

进一步地,根据所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,所述铁水成分包括C含量、P含量、S含量、Si含量、Mn含量。Furthermore, according to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, the molten iron composition includes C content, P content, S content, Si content, and Mn content.

与现有技术相比较,本发明具有如下有益效果:Compared with the prior art, the present invention has the following beneficial effects:

本发明方法利用了图像、音频、烟气数据、原料信息、辅料添加数据、吹氧参数等多源数据进行特征融合,使用热动力学机理,基于XGBoost算法进行模型训练。相比于使用单一来源数据进行钢水质量实时预报的方法,该方法利用转炉常见的多种数据,具有抗干扰能力强、实时性好、精度高等优点,对实际生产有指导意义。The method of the present invention utilizes multi-source data such as images, audio, flue gas data, raw material information, auxiliary material addition data, oxygen blowing parameters, etc. for feature fusion, uses thermodynamic mechanism, and performs model training based on XGBoost algorithm. Compared with the method of using single-source data for real-time prediction of molten steel quality, this method utilizes a variety of data commonly found in converters, has the advantages of strong anti-interference ability, good real-time performance, high precision, etc., and has guiding significance for actual production.

附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

图1为本实施方式的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预报方法的流程图;FIG1 is a flow chart of a method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to this embodiment;

图2(a)为本实施方式的碳含量的预测值与实际值的比较结果图;(b)为本实施方式的钢水温度的预测值与实际值的比较结果图;FIG. 2 (a) is a comparison diagram of the predicted value and the actual value of the carbon content of the present embodiment; FIG. 2 (b) is a comparison diagram of the predicted value and the actual value of the molten steel temperature of the present embodiment;

图3(a)为冶炼终点模型预测钢水温度与实际值的比较结果图;(b)为冶炼终点模型预测碳元素含量值与实际值的比较结果图。FIG3 (a) is a comparison diagram of the molten steel temperature predicted by the smelting endpoint model and the actual value; FIG3 (b) is a comparison diagram of the carbon content value predicted by the smelting endpoint model and the actual value.

具体实施方式DETAILED DESCRIPTION

为了便于理解本申请,下面将参照相关附图对本申请进行更全面的描述。To facilitate understanding of the present application, a more comprehensive description of the present application will be given below with reference to the relevant drawings.

图1是本实施方式的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预报方法的流程图。如图1所示,所述基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预报方法包括如下步骤:Figure 1 is a flow chart of a method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to this embodiment. As shown in Figure 1, the method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion comprises the following steps:

步骤1:建立钢水质量实时预测模型的训练数据集。首先采集相关生产数据,包括在转炉炼钢过程中的入炉条件数据、吹氧数据、加料数据、炉口温度数据、挡火墙外侧的音频数据、转炉烟道的烟气成分数据、副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量(TSO-C)和钢水温度(TSO-T)。然后基于转炉反应热动力学原理计算出吹炼过程中的实时钢水碳含量和实时钢水温度。接着经过数据筛选,形成钢水质量实时预测模型的训练数据集。Step 1: Establish a training data set for the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality. First, collect relevant production data, including the furnace entry condition data, oxygen blowing data, charging data, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data outside the fire wall, flue gas composition data of the converter flue, and the carbon content of molten steel at the end of blowing (TSO-C) and molten steel temperature (TSO-T) measured by the auxiliary gun. Then, based on the thermodynamic principle of converter reaction, calculate the real-time molten steel carbon content and real-time molten steel temperature during the blowing process. Then, after data screening, form the training data set for the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality.

步骤1.1:采集相关生产数据;Step 1.1: Collect relevant production data;

所述的入炉条件数据具体是从钢厂中MES系统采集的,采集数据中的铁水成分(C、P、S、Si、Mn)、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量作为入炉条件数据。The furnace entry condition data is specifically collected from the MES system in the steel plant, and the molten iron composition (C, P, S, Si, Mn), molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, and scrap steel weight in the collected data are used as the furnace entry condition data.

所述的吹氧数据具体是通过TCP网络传输,获取控制转炉吹氧设备的PLC上的实时数据,其中累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、和实时氧枪高度作为吹氧数据。The oxygen blowing data is specifically transmitted through a TCP network to obtain real-time data on a PLC that controls the converter oxygen blowing equipment, wherein the accumulated oxygen flow, accumulated oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow, and real-time oxygen gun height are used as oxygen blowing data.

所述的加料数据具体是通过加料系统中对不同料仓的料种、备料量、加入量进行采集,并将当前炉次的加入量进行累加,采集石灰石、白云石、冷料的累计加入量作为加料数据。The feeding data is specifically collected by the feeding system on the material type, preparation amount and addition amount of different silos, and the addition amount of the current furnace is accumulated, and the cumulative addition amount of limestone, dolomite and cold material is collected as the feeding data.

所述的温度数据具体是通过将热成像仪正对转炉炉口,获取炉口处每个像素对应的目标温度,得到炉口火焰的二维温度矩阵,并通过提取二维温度矩阵中的最大值作为当前炉次的炉口温度数据。The temperature data is specifically obtained by pointing the thermal imager directly at the converter furnace mouth, acquiring the target temperature corresponding to each pixel at the furnace mouth, obtaining a two-dimensional temperature matrix of the furnace mouth flame, and extracting the maximum value in the two-dimensional temperature matrix as the furnace mouth temperature data of the current furnace.

所述的音频数据具体是通过安装在转炉挡火墙外侧的音频采集设备收集音频,得到音强值作为挡火墙外侧的音频数据。The audio data is specifically collected by an audio acquisition device installed on the outside of the converter fire wall, and the sound intensity value is obtained as the audio data outside the fire wall.

所述的烟气成分数据具体是通过转炉烟道上的烟气分析仪对转炉烟气成分进行测定,并提取CO含量、CO2含量数据作为转炉烟道的烟气成分数据。The flue gas composition data is specifically obtained by measuring the converter flue gas composition through a flue gas analyzer on the converter flue, and extracting CO content and CO2 content data as the flue gas composition data of the converter flue.

所述的副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量和钢水温度,是在停止吹氧后使用副枪测量得到的。The carbon content and temperature of the molten steel at the blowing end point measured by the auxiliary gun are obtained by using the auxiliary gun after stopping the oxygen blowing.

步骤1.2:结合转炉反应热动力学原理计算出吹炼过程中的实时钢水碳含量和钢水温度。计算过程如下:Step 1.2: Combined with the thermodynamic principle of converter reaction, calculate the real-time carbon content and temperature of molten steel during blowing. The calculation process is as follows:

(1)碳含量计算(1) Calculation of carbon content

根据步骤1.1采集的烟气成分数据,按照物料平衡可以计算得到脱碳速率(kg/s):According to the flue gas composition data collected in step 1.1, the decarbonization rate (kg/s) can be calculated according to the material balance:

其中,Qgas为烟气流量,m3/s;xCO为烟气中一氧化碳的摩尔分数;为烟气中二氧化碳的摩尔分数;Wm为熔池中钢水质量,t;w(C)为熔池中碳的质量分数,%;Where, Q gas is the flue gas flow rate, m 3 /s; x CO is the mole fraction of carbon monoxide in the flue gas; is the molar fraction of carbon dioxide in the flue gas; Wm is the mass of molten steel in the molten pool, t; w(C) is the mass fraction of carbon in the molten pool, %;

脱碳速率积分即可得到连续脱碳量的总和:The total amount of continuous decarburization can be obtained by integrating the decarburization rate:

其中,∑Cde为连续脱碳量的总和,t。Where ∑C de is the sum of the continuous decarburization amounts, t.

结合步骤1.1采集的入炉条件数据中的铁水C含量即可求出实时钢水碳含量:Combined with the C content of molten iron in the furnace feeding condition data collected in step 1.1, the real-time carbon content of molten steel can be calculated:

w(C)=0.1×(∑C0-∑Cde)/Wm (3)w(C)=0.1×(∑C 0 -∑C de )/W m (3)

其中,∑C0为入炉条件数据中的铁水C的质量,kg。Wherein, ∑C0 is the mass of molten iron C in the furnace charging condition data, kg.

(2)钢水温度计算(2) Calculation of molten steel temperature

1)钢水基础温度计算1) Calculation of molten steel basic temperature

转炉冶炼过程中,炉内熔池反应会同时生成CO和CO2两种气体,其含量比值与钢水碳含量、钢水氧含量以及钢水温度有关。钢水碳含量在式(3)中可求,因此可以分别根据CO和CO2的热平衡方程分别确定钢水氧含量,再联立求出钢水温度。During the converter smelting process, the molten pool reaction in the furnace will simultaneously generate two gases, CO and CO2 , whose content ratio is related to the carbon content, oxygen content and temperature of the molten steel. The carbon content of the molten steel can be calculated in equation (3), so the oxygen content of the molten steel can be determined separately according to the heat balance equations of CO and CO2 , and then the temperature of the molten steel can be calculated jointly.

基于CO的热反应平衡方程计算钢水氧含量:Calculate the oxygen content of molten steel based on the thermal reaction balance equation of CO:

[C]+[O]=CO[C]+[O]=CO

整理可得:After finishing, we can get:

其中,为生成CO的平衡反应系数;P1为CO的平衡分压,Pa;P0为标准大气压,Pa;f1,f2为C和O的活度系数;w1,w2为钢水中C和O的含量,%;T为钢水温度,K。in, is the equilibrium reaction coefficient for the formation of CO; P1 is the equilibrium partial pressure of CO, Pa; P0 is the standard atmospheric pressure, Pa; f1 , f2 are the activity coefficients of C and O; w1 , w2 are the contents of C and O in molten steel, %; T is the molten steel temperature, K.

其中碳活度系数f1的计算公式如下:The calculation formula of carbon activity coefficient f1 is as follows:

基于CO2的热平衡方程计算钢水氧含量:Calculate the oxygen content of molten steel based on the heat balance equation of CO 2 :

[C]+2[O]=CO2 [C] + 2 [O] = CO 2

整理可得:After finishing, we can get:

其中,为生成CO2的平衡反应系数;P2为CO2的平衡分压,Pa;P0为标准大气压,Pa。in, is the equilibrium reaction coefficient for the production of CO 2 ; P2 is the equilibrium partial pressure of CO 2 , Pa; P0 is the standard atmospheric pressure, Pa.

在反应界面上,CO和CO2同时反应,所以各自热平衡方程计算出的钢水氧含量相等,因此有式(5)等于式(8):At the reaction interface, CO and CO2 react simultaneously, so the oxygen content of molten steel calculated by their respective heat balance equations is equal, so equation (5) is equal to equation (8):

整理可得基础钢水温度预测公式:The basic molten steel temperature prediction formula can be obtained by sorting out:

其中,x1和x2分别为熔池反应界面上CO和CO2在炉气中的比例,%。Among them, x1 and x2 are the proportions of CO and CO2 in the furnace gas at the molten pool reaction interface, respectively, %.

因为熔池反应界面上CO和CO2在到达炉气分析仪之前会在炉内、炉外产生二次燃烧,消耗CO生成CO2,所以熔池反应界面上CO和CO2的比例与炉气分析仪检测到的CO和CO2比例存在误差,所以需要对炉气分析仪检测到的CO和CO2比例进行修正,从而满足对式(10)的计算。Because CO and CO2 on the molten pool reaction interface will produce secondary combustion inside and outside the furnace before reaching the furnace gas analyzer, consuming CO to generate CO2 , there is an error between the ratio of CO and CO2 on the molten pool reaction interface and the ratio of CO and CO2 detected by the furnace gas analyzer. Therefore, it is necessary to correct the ratio of CO and CO2 detected by the furnace gas analyzer to satisfy the calculation of formula (10).

2)炉内二次燃烧产生的CO2流量计算2) Calculation of CO 2 flow rate generated by secondary combustion in the furnace

F3=α(F1-F2)β (11)F 3 = α(F 1 -F 2 ) β (11)

其中,F3为炉内二次燃烧产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F1为炉气总流量,m3/s;F2为炉气中N2流量,m3/s;α=0.2,β=0.75。Among them, F3 is the CO2 flow rate generated by secondary combustion in the furnace, m3 /s; F1 is the total flow rate of furnace gas, m3 /s; F2 is the N2 flow rate in the furnace gas, m3/ s ; α=0.2, β=0.75.

3)炉外二次燃烧产生的CO2流量计算3) Calculation of CO2 flow rate generated by secondary combustion outside the furnace

利用质量守恒定律计算炉口吸入烟道的空气量,从而得知吸入烟道中的O2流量,即可计算出二次燃烧的CO2流量。The law of conservation of mass is used to calculate the amount of air sucked into the flue at the furnace mouth, so as to know the O2 flow rate sucked into the flue, and then the CO2 flow rate of secondary combustion can be calculated.

炉口吸入空气流量为:The air flow rate at the furnace mouth is:

其中,F4为烟道中的Ar流量,m3/s;F5为炉口吸入的空气流量,m3/s;F6为转炉底吹Ar流量,m3/s;0.934%为空气中Ar含量。Among them, F4 is the Ar flow rate in the flue, m 3 /s; F5 is the air flow rate sucked into the furnace mouth, m 3 /s; F6 is the Ar flow rate of the converter bottom blowing, m 3 /s; 0.934% is the Ar content in the air.

所以炉口吸入的O2流量为:Therefore, the O2 flow rate sucked into the furnace is:

F7=F5×20.95% (13) F7F5 ×20.95% (13)

其中,F7为炉口吸入的O2流量,m3/s;20.95%为空气中O2含量。Among them, F7 is the O2 flow rate sucked into the furnace mouth, m3 /s; 20.95% is the O2 content in the air.

烟道中二次燃烧产生的CO2流量为:The CO2 flow rate produced by secondary combustion in the flue is:

F9=2×(F7-F8) (14) F9 = 2 × ( F7 - F8 ) (14)

其中,F8为烟气中的O2流量,m3/s;F9为烟道中二次燃烧产生的CO2流量,m3/s。Among them, F8 is the O2 flow rate in the flue gas, m3 /s; F9 is the CO2 flow rate produced by secondary combustion in the flue, m3 /s.

4)修正后的钢水温度计算4) Corrected calculation of molten steel temperature

首先对炉内、炉外的CO和CO2在炉气中的比例进行修正:First, the ratio of CO and CO2 in the furnace gas inside and outside the furnace is corrected:

F10=F12-F3-F9 (15) F10F12 - F3 - F9 (15)

F11=F13+F3+F9 (16) F11F13 + F3 + F9 (16)

其中,F10为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F12为烟道中CO2流量,m3/s;F3为炉内二次燃烧产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F9为烟道中二次燃烧产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F11为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO流量,m3/s;F13为烟道中CO流量,m3/s。Among them, F10 is the CO2 flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; F12 is the CO2 flow rate in the flue, m3 /s; F3 is the CO2 flow rate generated by the secondary combustion in the furnace, m3 /s; F9 is the CO2 flow rate generated by the secondary combustion in the flue, m3 /s; F11 is the CO flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; F13 is the CO flow rate in the flue, m3 /s.

所以在熔池反应处的CO比例x1'和CO2比例x2'分别为:Therefore, the CO ratio x 1 ' and CO 2 ratio x 2 ' at the molten pool reaction are:

则对式(10)修正后的温度计算公式为:Then the temperature calculation formula after correction of formula (10) is:

其中,λ为初始温度修正系数,K;λ的具体数值根据经验给定。Wherein, λ is the initial temperature correction coefficient, K; the specific value of λ is given based on experience.

步骤1.3:剔除数据异常和不完整的炉次。将出现数据缺失、冶炼时长异常的炉次进行删除,并根据人工经验设定的铁水成分范围、副枪测量值范围对炉次进行筛选,将处理后的数据作为钢水质量实时预测模型的训练数据集;表1是钢水质量实时预测模型训练数据集的参数值。Step 1.3: Eliminate abnormal and incomplete heats. Delete the heats with missing data and abnormal smelting time, and screen the heats according to the molten iron composition range and auxiliary gun measurement value range set by manual experience. The processed data is used as the training data set for the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality; Table 1 shows the parameter values of the training data set of the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality.

表1钢水质量实时预测模型训练数据集的参数值Table 1 Parameter values of the training data set for the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality

步骤2:将步骤1获得的铁水C含量、铁水P含量、铁水S含量、铁水Si含量、铁水Mn含量、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量、累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、实时氧枪高度、累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量、累计冷料加料量、炉口温度数据、音频数据、烟气分析仪测得的烟气CO含量、烟气CO2含量作为训练特征,将计算得到的钢水实时C含量、钢水实时温度以及副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量(TSO-C)和钢水温度(TSO-T)作为训练标签,使用步骤1构建的训练数据集对XGBoost模型进行训练,得到钢水质量实时预测模型,并将模型的输出作为下一时刻的钢水温度和钢水碳含量的预测值。Step 2: Take the molten iron C content, molten iron P content, molten iron S content, molten iron Si content, molten iron Mn content, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, scrap steel weight, cumulative oxygen flow, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow, real-time oxygen lance height, cumulative limestone feeding amount, cumulative dolomite feeding amount, cumulative cold material feeding amount, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data, flue gas CO content and flue gas CO2 content measured by the flue gas analyzer obtained in step 1 as training features, and take the calculated real-time C content of molten steel, real-time temperature of molten steel, and carbon content (TSO-C) and temperature (TSO-T) of molten steel at the end of blowing measured by the auxiliary lance as training labels, use the training data set constructed in step 1 to train the XGBoost model, and obtain a real-time prediction model for molten steel quality, and use the output of the model as the predicted value of molten steel temperature and carbon content at the next moment.

XGBoost是一种基于梯度提升决策树(Gradient Boosting Decision Tree)的机器学习算法,用于解决分类和回归问题,使用累加的方法对钢水实时温度和钢水实时碳含量进行预测。该模型的构建流程包括:XGBoost is a machine learning algorithm based on the Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, which is used to solve classification and regression problems. It uses the cumulative method to predict the real-time temperature and carbon content of molten steel. The construction process of this model includes:

(1)建立目标函数(1) Establishing the objective function

XGBoost的目标函数为:The objective function of XGBoost is:

其中yi是第i个样本的实际值,是第i个样本的预测值,是将所有样本的损失函数进行求和。是将全部t棵树的复杂度进行求和,添加到目标函数中作为正则化项,用于防止t模型过度拟合。where yi is the actual value of the ith sample, is the predicted value of the ith sample, It is the sum of the loss functions of all samples. The complexity of all t trees is summed up and added to the objective function as a regularization term to prevent overfitting of the t models.

其中XGBoost模型的预测值即钢水实时温度或钢水实时碳含量,是通过累加的方法进行计算,所以前t棵树对第i个样本的预测值为:The prediction value of the XGBoost model, i.e., the real-time temperature of the molten steel or the real-time carbon content of the molten steel, is calculated by the cumulative method, so the prediction value of the first t trees for the i-th sample is for:

其中是前t-1棵预测树对第i个样本的预测值,ft(xi)是第t棵树对第i个样本的预测值。因此模型的目标函数可以改写为:in is the prediction value of the first t-1 prediction trees for the i-th sample, and f t ( xi ) is the prediction value of the t-th tree for the i-th sample. Therefore, the objective function of the model can be rewritten as:

其中,gi为损失函数的一阶导,hi为损失函数的二阶导。Among them, gi is the first-order derivative of the loss function, and hi is the second-order derivative of the loss function.

(2)建立回归树(2) Building a regression tree

使用贪心算法,选择收益最大的特征(回归问题为各个划分集和的平均绝对误差之和)作为分裂特征,用该特征的最佳分裂点作为分裂位置,在该节点上分裂出左右两个新的叶节点,并为每个新节点关联对应的样本集。Use a greedy algorithm to select the feature with the greatest benefit (the regression problem is the sum of the mean absolute errors of the sum of the partition sets) as the split feature, use the best splitting point of the feature as the splitting position, split two new leaf nodes on the left and right at the node, and associate the corresponding sample set with each new node.

具体如下:从树的深度为0开始:The details are as follows: Starting from the depth of the tree is 0:

1)对每个叶节点枚举所有的可用特征,即铁水C含量、铁水P含量、铁水S含量、铁水Si含量、铁水Mn含量、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量、累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、实时氧枪高度、累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量、累计冷料加料量、炉口温度数据、音频数据、烟气分析仪测得的烟气CO含量、烟气CO2含量;1) For each leaf node, enumerate all available features, namely, molten iron C content, molten iron P content, molten iron S content, molten iron Si content, molten iron Mn content, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, scrap weight, cumulative oxygen flow, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow, real-time oxygen gun height, cumulative limestone feeding amount, cumulative dolomite feeding amount, cumulative cold material feeding amount, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data, flue gas CO content measured by flue gas analyzer, flue gas CO2 content;

2)针对每个特征,把属于该节点的训练样本根据该特征值进行升序排列,通过线性扫描的方式来决定该特征的最佳分裂点,并记录该特征的分裂收益;2) For each feature, the training samples belonging to the node are sorted in ascending order according to the feature value, the best split point of the feature is determined by linear scanning, and the split benefit of the feature is recorded;

3)选择收益最大的特征作为分裂特征,用该特征的最佳分裂点作为分裂位置,在该节点上分裂出左右两个新的叶节点,并为每个新节点关联对应的样本集(每个新节点关联的是总训练数据集的一部分子集,这个子集是按照分裂的条件进行划分的);3) Select the feature with the largest benefit as the split feature, use the best split point of the feature as the split position, split two new leaf nodes on the left and right sides of the node, and associate the corresponding sample set for each new node (each new node is associated with a subset of the total training data set, and this subset is divided according to the split condition);

4)回到第1)步,对每个叶节点枚举所有的可用特征,递归执行直到满足特定条件为止;4) Go back to step 1) and enumerate all available features for each leaf node, recursively executing until a specific condition is met;

步骤3:将新一炉次的吹炼实时数据传入步骤2训练好的钢水质量实时预测模型中,预测出当前钢水实时碳含量和钢水实时温度;Step 3: The real-time blowing data of the new batch is transferred into the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality trained in step 2 to predict the current real-time carbon content and temperature of the molten steel;

1)入炉条件数据:铁水成分(C、P、S、Si、Mn)、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量。1) Furnace feeding condition data: molten iron composition (C, P, S, Si, Mn), molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, scrap steel weight.

2)吹氧数据:累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、和实时氧枪高度。3)加料数据:石灰、白云石、冷料的累计加料量。4)炉口温度数据:将热成像仪采集到的炉口图像通过截取、提取特征,得到温度矩阵的最大值。5)挡火墙外侧的音频数据:音频采集设备收集到的音强值6)转炉烟道的烟气成分数据:由安装在烟道上的烟气分析仪得到的烟气成分数据。将上述吹炼实时数据传入步骤2训练好的模型中,计算出当前钢水实时碳含量和温度。2) Oxygen blowing data: cumulative oxygen flow, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow, and real-time oxygen gun height. 3) Feeding data: cumulative feeding amount of lime, dolomite, and cold material. 4) Furnace mouth temperature data: the furnace mouth image captured by the thermal imager is intercepted and features are extracted to obtain the maximum value of the temperature matrix. 5) Audio data outside the fire wall: sound intensity value collected by the audio acquisition device 6) Flue gas composition data of the converter flue: flue gas composition data obtained by the flue gas analyzer installed on the flue. The above real-time blowing data is passed into the model trained in step 2 to calculate the current real-time carbon content and temperature of the molten steel.

根据某钢厂的实际生产数据计算出的碳温预测曲线如图2(a)、图2(b)所示。经过实际生产数据验证,所得到的多个炉次终点模型预测钢水温度与实际值的比较结果如图3(a)所示,终点碳元素含量值与实际值的比较结果如图3(b),终点温度预测平均误差为11.25℃,终点碳含量预测平均误差为0.034%。经验证本发明方法能够给现场操作人员提供参照,有助于改进转炉钢水冶炼终点的碳温命中率,提高生产效率。The carbon temperature prediction curve calculated based on the actual production data of a steel plant is shown in Figure 2(a) and Figure 2(b). After verification by actual production data, the comparison results of the predicted molten steel temperature and the actual value obtained by the endpoint model of multiple furnaces are shown in Figure 3(a), and the comparison results of the endpoint carbon content value and the actual value are shown in Figure 3(b). The average error of the endpoint temperature prediction is 11.25°C, and the average error of the endpoint carbon content prediction is 0.034%. It has been verified that the method of the present invention can provide a reference for on-site operators, which is helpful to improve the carbon temperature hit rate at the end of converter molten steel smelting and improve production efficiency.

应当理解的是,本领域技术人员在本发明技术构思的启发下,在不脱离本发明内容的基础上,还可以根据上述内容作出各种改进或变换,这仍落在本发明的保护范围之内。It should be understood that, inspired by the technical concept of the present invention, those skilled in the art may make various improvements or changes based on the above content without departing from the content of the present invention, which still fall within the protection scope of the present invention.

Claims (7)

1.一种基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,该方法包括如下步骤:1. A method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion, characterized in that the method comprises the following steps: 步骤1:构建训练数据集;Step 1: Build a training dataset; 步骤2:利用训练数据集对现有的XGBoost模型进行训练,训练好的XGBoost模型作为钢水质量实时预测模型,并将模型的输出作为下一时刻的钢水温度和钢水碳含量的预测值;Step 2: Use the training data set to train the existing XGBoost model, use the trained XGBoost model as the real-time prediction model for molten steel quality, and use the output of the model as the predicted value of molten steel temperature and molten steel carbon content at the next moment; 步骤3:将新一炉次的吹炼实时数据传入钢水质量实时预测模型中,预测出当前钢水实时碳含量和钢水实时温度。Step 3: The real-time blowing data of the new batch is transferred into the real-time prediction model of molten steel quality to predict the current real-time carbon content and temperature of the molten steel. 2.根据权利要求1所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,步骤1包括如下步骤:2. The method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 1, characterized in that step 1 comprises the following steps: 步骤1.1:采集相关生产数据,包括在转炉炼钢过程中的入炉条件数据、吹氧数据、加料数据、炉口温度数据、挡火墙外侧的音频数据、转炉烟道的烟气成分数据、副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量和钢水温度;Step 1.1: Collect relevant production data, including the furnace entry condition data, oxygen blowing data, charging data, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data outside the fire wall, flue gas composition data of the converter flue, and carbon content and temperature of molten steel at the end of blowing measured by the auxiliary gun; 步骤1.2:基于步骤1.1采集的相关生产数据,结合转炉反应热动力学原理计算出吹炼过程中的实时钢水碳含量和钢水温度;Step 1.2: Based on the relevant production data collected in step 1.1 and combined with the thermodynamic principle of converter reaction, the real-time carbon content and temperature of molten steel during blowing are calculated; 步骤1.3:从步骤1.1和步骤1.2获取的数据中剔除异常数据和不完整炉次对应的数据,剩余的数据构成训练数据集。Step 1.3: Remove abnormal data and data corresponding to incomplete heats from the data obtained in steps 1.1 and 1.2, and the remaining data constitute the training data set. 3.根据权利要求1所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,所述入炉条件数据包括铁水成分、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量;所述吹氧数据包括累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量和实时氧枪高度;所述加料数据包括累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量和累计冷料加料量;所述烟气成分数据包括CO含量、CO2含量数据。3. According to the real-time prediction method of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 1, it is characterized in that the furnace entry condition data includes molten iron composition, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, and scrap steel weight; the oxygen blowing data includes cumulative oxygen flow rate, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow rate and real-time oxygen gun height; the feeding data includes cumulative limestone feeding amount, cumulative dolomite feeding amount and cumulative cold material feeding amount; the flue gas composition data includes CO content and CO2 content data. 4.根据权利要求1所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,实时钢水碳含量的计算公式如下:4. The method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 1, characterized in that the calculation formula of real-time molten steel carbon content is as follows: w(C)=0.1×(∑C0-∑Cde)/Wm (3)w(C)=0.1×(∑C 0 -∑C de )/W m (3) 其中,w(C)为熔池中碳的质量分数,%;∑C0为入炉条件数据中的铁水C的质量,kg;∑Cde为连续脱碳量的总和,t。Wherein, w(C) is the mass fraction of carbon in the molten pool, %; ∑C0 is the mass of molten iron C in the furnace charging condition data, kg; ∑Cde is the sum of the continuous decarburization amount, t. 5.根据权利要求1所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,钢水温度的计算公式如下:5. The method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 1, characterized in that the calculation formula of molten steel temperature is as follows: 其中,λ为初始温度修正系数,K;T为钢水温度,K;F10为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO2流量,m3/s;F11为由熔池脱碳反应直接产生的CO流量,m3/s;f1为C的活度系数;w1为钢水中C的含量,%。Wherein, λ is the initial temperature correction coefficient, K; T is the molten steel temperature, K; F10 is the CO2 flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; F11 is the CO flow rate directly generated by the molten pool decarburization reaction, m3 /s; f1 is the activity coefficient of C; w1 is the C content in molten steel, %. 6.根据权利要求2所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,在利用训练数据集对现有的XGBoost模型进行训练时,将训练数据集中的铁水成分、铁水温度、铁水重量、废钢重量、累计氧流量、累计吹氧时间、实时氧流量、实时氧枪高度、累计石灰石加料量、累计白云石加料量、累计冷料加料量、炉口温度数据、音频数据、烟气分析仪测得的烟气CO含量、烟气CO2含量作为训练特征;将训练数据集中由计算得到的钢水实时碳含量、钢水实时温度以及副枪测量的吹炼终点钢水碳含量和钢水温度作为训练标签。6. The method for real-time prediction of molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 2 is characterized in that when the existing XGBoost model is trained using a training data set, the molten iron composition, molten iron temperature, molten iron weight, scrap steel weight, cumulative oxygen flow rate, cumulative oxygen blowing time, real-time oxygen flow rate, real-time oxygen gun height, cumulative limestone feeding amount, cumulative dolomite feeding amount, cumulative cold material feeding amount, furnace mouth temperature data, audio data, flue gas CO content and flue gas CO2 content measured by a flue gas analyzer in the training data set are used as training features; the real-time carbon content of the molten steel, the real-time temperature of the molten steel calculated in the training data set, and the carbon content and temperature of the molten steel at the blowing end point measured by the auxiliary gun are used as training labels. 7.根据权利要求3或者6所述的基于多源数据特征融合的钢水质量实时预测方法,其特征在于,所述铁水成分包括C含量、P含量、S含量、Si含量、Mn含量。7. The real-time prediction method for molten steel quality based on multi-source data feature fusion according to claim 3 or 6 is characterized in that the molten iron composition includes C content, P content, S content, Si content, and Mn content.
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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
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CN120350186A (en) * 2025-06-20 2025-07-22 湖南华菱涟源钢铁有限公司 Converter high-efficiency smelting method based on big data steelmaking model under low molten iron ratio condition
CN120538879A (en) * 2025-07-25 2025-08-26 江苏沙钢钢铁有限公司 Full-automatic demoulding sampling system for molten steel of blast furnace

Cited By (3)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN120350186A (en) * 2025-06-20 2025-07-22 湖南华菱涟源钢铁有限公司 Converter high-efficiency smelting method based on big data steelmaking model under low molten iron ratio condition
CN120538879A (en) * 2025-07-25 2025-08-26 江苏沙钢钢铁有限公司 Full-automatic demoulding sampling system for molten steel of blast furnace
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