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CN118194699A - On-line evaluation method and system for excitation system of thermal power generating unit - Google Patents

On-line evaluation method and system for excitation system of thermal power generating unit Download PDF

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CN118194699A
CN118194699A CN202410225419.0A CN202410225419A CN118194699A CN 118194699 A CN118194699 A CN 118194699A CN 202410225419 A CN202410225419 A CN 202410225419A CN 118194699 A CN118194699 A CN 118194699A
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excitation system
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孟伯平
毛羽波
李玉秋
陈杰凤
李义忠
朱浩铭
李彦双
李显彤
姜博
霍乾涛
袁亚洲
朱宏超
杨玲
王晓明
包振兴
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Tianjin Guoneng Panshan Power Generation Co ltd
NARI Technology Co Ltd
Harbin Electric Machinery Co Ltd
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NARI Technology Co Ltd
Harbin Electric Machinery Co Ltd
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Abstract

The invention discloses an on-line evaluation method and system of an excitation system for a thermal power unit, which relate to the field of power engineering and comprise the steps of collecting data of the excitation system for the thermal power unit for preprocessing; extracting features of the preprocessed integrated data, and establishing a thermal power unit excitation system performance evaluation model for performing performance analysis; optimizing model parameters, carrying out online evaluation on faults of the excitation system, and outputting evaluation results; and analyzing the evaluation result to judge whether the performance of the excitation system is declined or not, so as to realize early detection of faults. According to the invention, feature extraction is carried out by combining dynamic time warping DTW and mean square error MSE, so that the accuracy of fault prediction is improved; the DTW analysis and performance degradation evaluation are used, the mutual information value is adjusted by considering the performance degradation rate, the decision tree algorithm dynamically adapts to the change of the system state, and the adaptability to the newly-appearing fault mode is improved; and the method is adjusted and optimized according to different excitation system characteristics and operating conditions of the thermal power generating unit, so that the operating efficiency is improved and the risk is reduced.

Description

一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法及系统A method and system for online evaluation of excitation system for thermal power unit

技术领域Technical Field

本发明涉及电力工程领域,特别是一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法及系统。The invention relates to the field of electric power engineering, and in particular to an online evaluation method and system for an excitation system for a thermal power unit.

背景技术Background technique

火电机组的励磁系统是确保电压和频率稳定输出的关键组成部分。传统的励磁系统通常基于PID控制器等方法来维持电机的稳态运行,但不能评估不同负载、环境和工况下,特别是在非线性系统或负载突变情况下励磁系统的性能。The excitation system of a thermal power unit is a key component to ensure stable voltage and frequency output. Traditional excitation systems are usually based on methods such as PID controllers to maintain steady-state operation of the motor, but they cannot evaluate the performance of the excitation system under different loads, environments, and working conditions, especially in nonlinear systems or load mutations.

现代火电机组励磁系统评估方法借助了先进的传感技术、数据分析和人工智能,使其具有更高的智能化和自适应性。但是不能实时根据系统状态和外部负载变化进行调整,因此难以应对突发事件和快速变化的负载需求。Modern thermal power unit excitation system assessment methods use advanced sensor technology, data analysis and artificial intelligence to make them more intelligent and adaptive. However, they cannot be adjusted in real time according to system status and external load changes, making it difficult to respond to emergencies and rapidly changing load demands.

发明内容Summary of the invention

鉴于现有的火电机组的励磁系统评估方法对突发事件和快速变化的负载需求存在的问题,提出了本发明。In view of the problems existing in the existing evaluation method of the excitation system of thermal power units in response to emergencies and rapidly changing load demands, the present invention is proposed.

因此,本发明所要解决的问题在于如何对突发事件和快速变化的负载需求做出适时响应。Therefore, the problem to be solved by the present invention is how to make timely responses to emergencies and rapidly changing load demands.

为解决上述技术问题,本发明提供如下技术方案:In order to solve the above technical problems, the present invention provides the following technical solutions:

第一方面,本发明实施例提供了一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其包括,采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。In a first aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides an online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit, which includes collecting data of the excitation system for the thermal power unit and other relevant data, integrating them, and preprocessing them; extracting features from the preprocessed integrated data, establishing a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of the thermal power unit, and performing performance analysis; using historical data to train and verify the evaluation model, optimize model parameters, and improve the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; inputting real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model, performing online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and outputting evaluation results; analyzing the evaluation results to determine whether the performance of the excitation system has declined, achieve early detection of faults, and ensure stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述并进行预处理包括以下步骤:对数据缺失值进行线性插值处理;As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit of the present invention, the preprocessing comprises the following steps: performing linear interpolation processing on the missing data values;

当相同时间戳的数据全部丢失,则使用线性插值处理丢失的数据;When all data with the same timestamp are lost, linear interpolation is used to process the missing data;

当相同时间戳的数据P或D中出现一个数据缺失,则通过分析相同时间戳下的其他数据补齐数据;对于每个数据序列计算连续时间点之间的变化率;根据变化率的相关性估计缺失数据的变化率,并选择与缺失数据变化率相关性最高的数据序列Pi和Dj;若数据序列Pi缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔPi^(t)=α+β·ΔDj(t);若数据序列Dj缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔDj^(t)=α+β·ΔPi(t),其中α和β为基于历史数据计算的系数;使用估计的变化率补齐缺失数据,若Pi(t-1)已知,则Pi(t)=Pi(t-1)×(1+ΔPi^(t));When a data is missing in the data P or D with the same timestamp, the data is supplemented by analyzing other data with the same timestamp; for each data sequence, the rate of change between consecutive time points is calculated; the rate of change of the missing data is estimated based on the correlation of the rate of change, and the data sequences P i and D j with the highest correlation with the rate of change of the missing data are selected; if the data sequence P i is missing, the estimated rate of change of the missing data is ΔP i ^(t)=α+β·ΔD j (t); if the data sequence D j is missing, the estimated rate of change of the missing data is ΔD j ^(t)=α+β·ΔP i (t), where α and β are coefficients calculated based on historical data; the estimated rate of change is used to supplement the missing data, if P i (t-1) is known, then P i (t)=P i (t-1)×(1+ΔP i ^(t));

若Dj(t-1)已知,则Dj(t)=Dj(t-1)×(1+ΔDj^(t))。If D j (t-1) is known, then D j (t) = D j (t-1) × (1 + ΔD j ^ (t)).

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述对于每个数据序列计算连续时间点之间的变化率的相关公式如下:As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit of the present invention, the formula for calculating the change rate between consecutive time points for each data sequence is as follows:

ΔPi(t)=Pi(t-1)Pi(t)-Pi(t-1)ΔP i (t) = P i (t-1)P i (t) - P i (t-1)

ΔDi(t)=Dj(t-1)Dj(t)-Dj(t-1)ΔD i (t) = D j (t-1) D j (t) - D j (t-1)

其中,Pi和Dj均为数据序列,t为时间戳。Among them, Pi and Dj are data sequences, and t is the timestamp.

所述对数据缺失值进行线性插值处理的相关公式如下:The relevant formula for linear interpolation of missing data values is as follows:

其中,t为时间戳,t1和t2均为相邻时间点。Among them, t is the timestamp, and t1 and t2 are adjacent time points.

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述并进行性能分析包括以下步骤:捕捉时间序列数据中的动态模式和形状;使用动态时间弯曲(DTW)算法比较时间序列,并提取相似模式,其相关公式如下:As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit of the present invention, the performance analysis includes the following steps: capturing dynamic patterns and shapes in time series data; using a dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm to compare time series and extract similar patterns, and the relevant formula is as follows:

其中,S和T均为时间序列。Among them, S and T are time series.

估计时间序列数据的复杂性和不规则性,计算多尺度熵,其相关公式如下:Estimate the complexity and irregularity of time series data and calculate multiscale entropy. The relevant formula is as follows:

MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x)MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x)

其中,p(x)为在尺度k上的概率分配。Among them, p(x) is the probability distribution at scale k.

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述使用动态时间弯曲(DTW)算法比较时间序列包括以下步骤:当DDTW≤θdeg,则判断为性能正常;当DDTW>θdeg,则判断为性能衰退;若性能发生衰退,则调整互信息的数值,其相关公式如下:As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit of the present invention, the use of the dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm to compare the time series includes the following steps: when D DTW ≤θ deg , it is judged that the performance is normal; when D DTWdeg , it is judged that the performance is degraded; if the performance is degraded, the value of the mutual information is adjusted, and the relevant formula is as follows:

其中,B为每次达到衰退率的时间按照最长步长计算的步数,Rdecay为衰退率,MI为整个信息的数值,其具体公式如下:Among them, B is the number of steps calculated according to the longest step length each time the decay rate is reached, R decay is the decay rate, and MI is the value of the entire information. The specific formula is as follows:

MI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)logp(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈YMI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)logp(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈Y

其中,X为量化特征,Y为故障标签。Among them, X is the quantitative feature and Y is the fault label.

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中包括以下步骤:在实时输入数据到评估模型时,进行实时异常检测;当输入数据正常,则评估模型按照预定的流程执行,输出对应的评估结果;当输入数据异常,则输出相应的警报并记录异常信息,并将不同的异常情况,设置异常等级,灵活地处理异常情况;若异常等级为一级,则记录异常信息,同时继续执行评估模型,并在后续的报告中标明异常等级;若异常等级为二级,则输出警报,同时暂停当前评估任务;若异常等级为三级,则立即停止当前任务,输出紧急警报,并触发相应的系统自救机制。As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit described in the present invention, the method comprises the following steps: when the data collected in real time is input into the evaluation model in real time, real-time anomaly detection is performed; when the input data is normal, the evaluation model is executed according to a predetermined process and a corresponding evaluation result is output; when the input data is abnormal, a corresponding alarm is output and abnormal information is recorded, and different abnormal situations are set with abnormal levels to flexibly handle the abnormal situations; if the abnormal level is level one, the abnormal information is recorded, and the evaluation model is continued to be executed, and the abnormal level is indicated in subsequent reports; if the abnormal level is level two, an alarm is output and the current evaluation task is suspended; if the abnormal level is level three, the current task is immediately stopped, an emergency alarm is output, and a corresponding system self-rescue mechanism is triggered.

作为本发明所述火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的一种优选方案,其中:所述判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退包括以下步骤:通过对评估结果进行分析建立故障模式;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式匹配度不匹配,则记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式高度匹配,则触发故障检测,提醒进行更深入的检查和维护;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式低度匹配,则选择轻度处理,记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出。As a preferred solution of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit described in the present invention, the determination of whether the performance of the excitation system has declined includes the following steps: establishing a fault mode by analyzing the evaluation results; when the real-time evaluation results do not match the known fault mode, recording the current real-time evaluation data and model output; when the real-time evaluation results highly match the known fault mode, triggering fault detection to remind more in-depth inspection and maintenance; when the real-time evaluation results poorly match the known fault mode, selecting light processing and recording the current real-time evaluation data and model output.

第二方面,本发明实施例提供了一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估系统,其包括:采集模块,用于采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;提取模块,将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;优化模块,用于使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;评估模块,用于将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;分析模块,用于对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。In a second aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides an online evaluation system for an excitation system of a thermal power unit, comprising: an acquisition module, for collecting data of the excitation system of the thermal power unit and other relevant data for integration and preprocessing; an extraction module, for extracting features from the preprocessed integrated data, establishing a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of the thermal power unit, and performing performance analysis; an optimization module, for training and verifying the evaluation model using historical data, optimizing model parameters, and improving the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; an evaluation module, for inputting real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model, performing online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and outputting evaluation results; an analysis module, for analyzing the evaluation results, determining whether the performance of the excitation system is degraded, achieving early detection of faults, and ensuring stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

第三方面,本发明实施例提供了一种计算机设备,包括存储器和处理器,所述存储器存储有计算机程序,其中:所述计算机程序指令被处理器执行时实现如本发明第一方面所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的步骤。In a third aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer device, including a memory and a processor, wherein the memory stores a computer program, wherein: when the computer program instructions are executed by the processor, the steps of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit as described in the first aspect of the present invention are implemented.

第四方面,本发明实施例提供了一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,其中:所述计算机程序指令被处理器执行时实现如本发明第一方面所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的步骤。In a fourth aspect, an embodiment of the present invention provides a computer-readable storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, wherein: when the computer program instructions are executed by a processor, the steps of the online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit as described in the first aspect of the present invention are implemented.

本发明有益效果为:本发明通过结合动态时间规整DTW和均方误差MSE进行特征提取,提高故障预测的准确性;使用DTW分析和性能退化评估,及时识别系统微小变化和潜在的性能退化,实现故障的早期检测;通过考虑性能衰退率调整互信息值,决策树模型动态适应系统状态的变化,提高对新出现故障模式的适应能力;根据不同的火电机组励磁系统特性和运行条件进行灵活调整和优化,具备良好的可扩展性,从而提高运行效率,降低风险,并确保电力系统的稳定和可靠运行。The beneficial effects of the present invention are as follows: the present invention improves the accuracy of fault prediction by combining dynamic time warping DTW and mean square error MSE for feature extraction; uses DTW analysis and performance degradation evaluation to timely identify small changes in the system and potential performance degradation, thereby realizing early detection of faults; by adjusting the mutual information value by considering the performance decay rate, the decision tree model dynamically adapts to changes in the system state, thereby improving the adaptability to new fault modes; and flexibly adjusts and optimizes according to different characteristics and operating conditions of the excitation system of thermal power units, and has good scalability, thereby improving operating efficiency, reducing risks, and ensuring stable and reliable operation of the power system.

附图说明BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

为了更清楚地说明本发明实施例的技术方案,下面将对实施例描述中所需要使用的附图作简单地介绍,显而易见地,下面描述中的附图仅仅是本发明的一些实施例,对于本领域普通技术人员来讲,在不付出创造性劳动的前提下,还可以根据这些附图获得其它的附图。其中:In order to more clearly illustrate the technical solutions of the embodiments of the present invention, the following briefly introduces the drawings required for describing the embodiments. Obviously, the drawings described below are only some embodiments of the present invention. For ordinary technicians in this field, other drawings can be obtained based on these drawings without creative work. Among them:

图1为实施例1火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的流程图。FIG1 is a flow chart of an online evaluation method for an excitation system of a thermal power unit according to Example 1.

图2为实施例1火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的系统结果图。FIG. 2 is a system result diagram of the online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power unit in Example 1.

具体实施方式Detailed ways

为使本发明的上述目的、特征和优点能够更加明显易懂,下面结合说明书附图对本发明的具体实施方式做详细的说明。In order to make the above-mentioned objects, features and advantages of the present invention more obvious and easy to understand, the specific implementation methods of the present invention are described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

在下面的描述中阐述了很多具体细节以便于充分理解本发明,但是本发明还可以采用其他不同于在此描述的其它方式来实施,本领域技术人员可以在不违背本发明内涵的情况下做类似推广,因此本发明不受下面公开的具体实施例的限制。In the following description, many specific details are set forth to facilitate a full understanding of the present invention, but the present invention may also be implemented in other ways different from those described herein, and those skilled in the art may make similar generalizations without violating the connotation of the present invention. Therefore, the present invention is not limited to the specific embodiments disclosed below.

其次,此处所称的“一个实施例”或“实施例”是指可包含于本发明至少一个实现方式中的特定特征、结构或特性。在本说明书中不同地方出现的“在一个实施例中”并非均指同一个实施例,也不是单独的或选择性的与其他实施例互相排斥的实施例。Secondly, the term "one embodiment" or "embodiment" as used herein refers to a specific feature, structure, or characteristic that may be included in at least one implementation of the present invention. The term "in one embodiment" that appears in different places in this specification does not necessarily refer to the same embodiment, nor does it refer to a separate or selective embodiment that is mutually exclusive with other embodiments.

实施例1Example 1

参照图1~图2,为本发明第一个实施例,该实施例提供了一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,包括,1 and 2, which are the first embodiment of the present invention, provide an online evaluation method for an excitation system of a thermal power plant, comprising:

S1:采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理。S1: Collect data from the excitation system of thermal power units and other related data, integrate them, and perform preprocessing.

具体的,从励磁系统收集参数P={p1,p2,...,pn},其中pn表示第i个参数,如电流、电压等;从火电机组收集相关数据D={d1,d2,...,dj},其中dj表示第j个参数,如负荷和效率。Specifically, parameters P = {p1, p2, ..., pn } are collected from the excitation system, where pn represents the i-th parameter, such as current, voltage, etc.; relevant data D = {d1, d2, ..., dj } are collected from the thermal power units, where dj represents the j-th parameter, such as load and efficiency.

进一步的,数据的集成包括同步采集到的数据的时间戳,确保P和D的数据点在时间上对齐,对P和D进行关联合并的具体公式如下:Furthermore, data integration includes synchronizing the timestamps of the collected data to ensure that the data points of P and D are aligned in time. The specific formula for associating and merging P and D is as follows:

N=merge(P,D)N = merge(P,D)

其中,N为P和D进行关联合并的数据集,P为从励磁系统收集参数,D为从火电机组收集相关数据。Among them, N is the data set that is associated and merged with P and D, P is the parameters collected from the excitation system, and D is the relevant data collected from the thermal power unit.

更进一步的,对数据的缺失值进行线性插值处理,当相同时间戳的数据全部丢失,则使用线性插值处理丢失的数据;当相同时间戳的数据P或D中出现一个数据的缺失,则通过分析相同时间戳下的其他数据补齐数据;线性插值处理的具体公式如下:Furthermore, linear interpolation is performed on the missing values of the data. When all the data with the same timestamp are lost, linear interpolation is used to process the missing data. When one data is missing in the data P or D with the same timestamp, the data is supplemented by analyzing other data with the same timestamp. The specific formula for linear interpolation is as follows:

其中,t为时间戳,t1和t2均为相邻时间点。Where t is a timestamp, and t1 and t2 are adjacent time points.

具体的,对于每个数据序列计算连续时间点之间的变化率,其具体公式如下:Specifically, for each data sequence, the rate of change between consecutive time points is calculated, and the specific formula is as follows:

ΔPi(t)=Pi(t-1)Pi(t)-Pi(t-1)ΔP i (t) = P i (t-1)P i (t) - P i (t-1)

ΔDi(t)=Dj(t-1)Dj(t)-Dj(t-1)ΔD i (t) = D j (t-1) D j (t) - D j (t-1)

其中,Pi和Dj均为数据序列,t为时间戳。Among them, Pi and Dj are data sequences, and t is the timestamp.

进一步的,分析变化率之间的相关性,根据变化率的相关性估计缺失数据的变化率;选择与缺失数据变化率相关性最高的数据序列Pi和Dj。若数据序列Pi缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔPi^(t)=α+β·ΔDj(t);若数据序列Dj缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔDj^(t)=α+β·ΔPi(t),其中α和β为基于历史数据计算的系数。Furthermore, the correlation between the change rates is analyzed, and the change rate of the missing data is estimated based on the correlation of the change rates; the data sequences P i and D j with the highest correlation with the change rate of the missing data are selected. If the data sequence P i is missing, the estimated change rate of the missing data is ΔP i ^(t)=α+β·ΔD j (t); if the data sequence D j is missing, the estimated change rate of the missing data is ΔD j ^(t)=α+β·ΔP i (t), where α and β are coefficients calculated based on historical data.

更进一步的,使用估计的变化率补齐缺失数据,若Pi(t-1)已知,则Pi(t)=Pi(t-1)×(1+ΔPi^(t));若Dj(t-1)已知,则Dj(t)=Dj(t-1)×(1+ΔDj^(t))。Furthermore, the estimated rate of change is used to fill in the missing data. If Pi (t-1) is known, then Pi (t) = Pi (t-1) × (1 + ΔPi ^ (t)); if D j (t-1) is known, then D j (t) = D j (t-1) × (1 + ΔD j ^ (t)).

S2:将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析。S2: Extract features from the preprocessed integrated data, establish a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of the thermal power unit, and perform performance analysis.

具体的,捕捉时间序列数据中的动态模式和形状,使用动态时间弯曲(DTW)算法来比较时间序列,并提取相似模式,其具体公式如下:Specifically, the dynamic patterns and shapes in time series data are captured, and the dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm is used to compare time series and extract similar patterns. The specific formula is as follows:

其中,S和T均为时间序列。Among them, S and T are time series.

进一步的,估计时间序列数据的复杂性和不规则性,计算多尺度熵,以量化不同时间尺度上的数据复杂性,其具体公式如下:Furthermore, the complexity and irregularity of time series data are estimated, and multi-scale entropy is calculated to quantify the complexity of data at different time scales. The specific formula is as follows:

MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x)MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x)

其中,p(x)为在尺度k上的概率分配。Among them, p(x) is the probability distribution at scale k.

更进一步的,通过将时间序列数据划分为训练集和测试集,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型。Furthermore, a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of a thermal power unit is established by dividing the time series data into a training set and a test set.

具体的,如表1所示,关于误差方面,训练集误差表示模型在已知数据上的拟合程度,验证集误差则是模型在未见过的数据上的泛化能力的一个指标,而测试集误差则提供了模型在实际应用场景中的性能。Specifically, as shown in Table 1, in terms of error, the training set error indicates how well the model fits the known data, the validation set error is an indicator of the model's generalization ability on unseen data, and the test set error provides the performance of the model in actual application scenarios.

表1性能分析表Table 1 Performance analysis table

模型Model 训练集误差Training set error 验证集误差Validation set error 测试集误差Test set error 准确率Accuracy 精确率Accuracy 召回率Recall F1分数F1 score 模型AModel A 0.0120.012 0.0150.015 0.0160.016 0.880.88 0.850.85 0.920.92 0.880.88 模型BModel B 0.0080.008 0.0110.011 0.0130.013 0.920.92 0.890.89 0.940.94 0.910.91 模型CModel C 0.0100.010 0.0130.013 0.0140.014 0.890.89 0.870.87 0.910.91 0.890.89

进一步的,准确率是模型在整个测试集上正确分类样本的比例,而精确率关注的是模型在正类别的预测中的准确性,召回率则关注模型对正类别的捕捉能力。F1分数综合了精确率和召回率,提供了一个平衡两者的度量。通过这些指标,可以更全面地评估模型的性能,了解其在正类别和负类别的分类能力。Furthermore, accuracy is the proportion of samples correctly classified by the model on the entire test set, while precision focuses on the accuracy of the model in predicting the positive category, and recall focuses on the model's ability to capture the positive category. The F1 score combines precision and recall, providing a metric that balances the two. Through these indicators, the performance of the model can be more comprehensively evaluated to understand its classification capabilities in positive and negative categories.

S3:使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性。S3: Use historical data to train and validate the evaluation model, optimize model parameters, and improve the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model.

具体的,使用训练集对模型进行训练,通过利用决策树的算法更新模型参数,使其适应历史数据的模式;使用验证集评估模型在未见过的数据上的性能,监测模型是否过拟合或欠拟合;使用随机搜索方法对模型的超参数进行调优,以找到最佳的参数组合;使用交叉验证技术,进一步验证模型的稳定性和泛化性能;实时监测模型在训练集和验证集上的误差,确保模型不出现过拟合情况。Specifically, the model is trained using the training set, and the model parameters are updated by using the decision tree algorithm to adapt it to the pattern of historical data; the performance of the model on unseen data is evaluated using the validation set to monitor whether the model is overfitting or underfitting; the model's hyperparameters are tuned using a random search method to find the best parameter combination; cross-validation technology is used to further verify the model's stability and generalization performance; the model's errors on the training set and validation set are monitored in real time to ensure that the model is not overfitting.

进一步的,在训练过程中,保存模型在验证集上性能最佳的参数,以备后续使用;设置回滚机制,如果模型性能在一定周期内没有显著改善,则回滚到之前的参数状态,防止模型过度拟合。记录每次实验的模型参数、性能指标,以便后续分析和追溯。Furthermore, during the training process, save the model parameters with the best performance on the validation set for subsequent use; set a rollback mechanism, and if the model performance does not improve significantly within a certain period, roll back to the previous parameter state to prevent the model from overfitting. Record the model parameters and performance indicators of each experiment for subsequent analysis and tracing.

具体的,使用历史数据进行训练和验证模型时,设定误差阈值,当模型误差大于阈值,则对模型的参数进行调整和优化,以期望降低模型的误差;当模型误差等于阈值,则检查模型参数,微调参数以提高模型的性能;当模型误差小于阈值,则进一步验证模型在其他数据集上的表现,确保模型的泛化性能。Specifically, when using historical data to train and verify the model, an error threshold is set. When the model error is greater than the threshold, the model parameters are adjusted and optimized in the hope of reducing the model error. When the model error is equal to the threshold, the model parameters are checked and fine-tuned to improve the performance of the model. When the model error is less than the threshold, the model's performance on other data sets is further verified to ensure the generalization performance of the model.

进一步的,误差阈值需要根据具体任务的敏感性、数据噪声水平、应用场景要求以及计算资源和效率来进行权衡。对于对误差容忍度较低的任务,选择较小的误差阈值以确保高准确性,而对于一些对模型鲁棒性和泛化能力更注重的场景,可以适度放宽阈值以提高效率。Furthermore, the error threshold needs to be weighed according to the sensitivity of the specific task, the level of data noise, the application scenario requirements, and the computing resources and efficiency. For tasks with low error tolerance, a smaller error threshold is selected to ensure high accuracy, while for some scenarios that place more emphasis on model robustness and generalization ability, the threshold can be moderately relaxed to improve efficiency.

S4:将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果。S4: Input the real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model to perform online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and output the evaluation results.

具体的,在实时输入数据到评估模型时,进行实时异常检测;当输入数据正常,则评估模型按照预定的流程执行,输出对应的评估结果;当输入数据异常,则输出相应的警报并记录异常信息,并将不同的异常情况,设置异常等级,灵活地处理异常情况。Specifically, when real-time input data is input into the evaluation model, real-time anomaly detection is performed; when the input data is normal, the evaluation model is executed according to the predetermined process and the corresponding evaluation results are output; when the input data is abnormal, the corresponding alarm is output and the abnormal information is recorded, and different abnormal situations are set with abnormal levels to flexibly handle abnormal situations.

进一步的,若异常等级为一级,则记录异常信息,同时继续执行评估模型,并在后续的报告中标明异常等级;若异常等级为二级,则输出警报,同时暂停当前评估任务;若异常等级为三级,则立即停止当前任务,输出紧急警报,并触发相应的系统自救机制。Furthermore, if the abnormality level is level one, the abnormal information is recorded, the evaluation model continues to be executed, and the abnormality level is indicated in the subsequent report; if the abnormality level is level two, an alarm is output and the current evaluation task is suspended; if the abnormality level is level three, the current task is stopped immediately, an emergency alarm is output, and the corresponding system self-rescue mechanism is triggered.

更进一步的,如表2所示,对于模型实时评估过程记录,每一行表示了一个评估事件,其中“输入数据是否正常”列指示实时输入数据的状态,可能是正常或异常。异常情况被划分为不同的等级,由“异常等级”列表示,分为无异常(0)、一级异常、二级异常、三级异常等。当系统检测到异常时,会输出相应的“警报信息”,以描述异常的性质和程度。最后,“模型评估结果”列记录了模型对当前数据的评估结果,可能是正常、未评估(由于异常而中断评估)或其他相关的评估信息。Furthermore, as shown in Table 2, for the model real-time evaluation process record, each row represents an evaluation event, where the "Is the input data normal" column indicates the status of the real-time input data, which may be normal or abnormal. Abnormal situations are divided into different levels, represented by the "Abnormal Level" column, which are divided into no abnormality (0), level 1 abnormality, level 2 abnormality, level 3 abnormality, etc. When the system detects an abnormality, it will output the corresponding "alarm information" to describe the nature and extent of the abnormality. Finally, the "Model Evaluation Result" column records the model's evaluation results for the current data, which may be normal, not evaluated (evaluation interrupted due to abnormality) or other relevant evaluation information.

表2评估结果表Table 2 Evaluation results

输入数据是否正常Is the input data normal? 异常等级Abnormal Level 警报消息Alert Message 模型评估结果Model evaluation results yes none none 正常normal no 22 数据异常,波动较大Abnormal data, large fluctuations 未评估Not evaluated yes 11 轻微波动,继续评估Slight fluctuation, continue to evaluate 正常normal no 33 严重异常,停止评估Serious abnormality, stop evaluation 未评估Not evaluated

S5:对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。S5: Analyze the evaluation results to determine whether the performance of the excitation system has declined, achieve early detection of faults, and ensure stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

具体的,通过对评估结果进行分析,量化特征与故障之间的相互依赖性。计算每个特征与故障标签之间的互信息值;根据DTW分析结果判断系统是否退化,定义退化阈值θdegSpecifically, by analyzing the evaluation results, the interdependence between features and faults is quantified. The mutual information value between each feature and the fault label is calculated. According to the DTW analysis results, it is determined whether the system is degraded, and the degradation threshold θ deg is defined.

进一步的,当DDTW≤θdeg,则判断为性能正常;当DDTW>θdeg,则判断为性能衰退;若性能发生衰退,则调整互信息的数值,其相关公式如下:Furthermore, when D DTW ≤θ deg , the performance is judged to be normal; when D DTWdeg , the performance is judged to be degraded; if the performance is degraded, the value of the mutual information is adjusted, and the relevant formula is as follows:

其中,B为每次达到衰退率的时间按照最长步长计算的步数,Rdecay为衰退率,M为整个信息的数值,其具体公式如下:Among them, B is the number of steps calculated according to the longest step length each time the decay rate is reached, R decay is the decay rate, and M is the value of the entire information. The specific formula is as follows:

MI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)log p(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈YMI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)logp(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈Y

其中,X为量化特征,Y为故障标签。Among them, X is the quantitative feature and Y is the fault label.

更进一步的,通过对评估结果进行分析建立故障模式;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式匹配度不匹配,则记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式高度匹配,则触发故障检测,提醒进行更深入的检查和维护;当实时评估结果与已知故障模式低度匹配,则选择轻度处理,记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出。Furthermore, the fault mode is established by analyzing the evaluation results; when the real-time evaluation results do not match the known fault mode, the current real-time evaluation data and model output are recorded; when the real-time evaluation results highly match the known fault mode, fault detection is triggered to remind more in-depth inspection and maintenance; when the real-time evaluation results poorly match the known fault mode, light processing is selected to record the current real-time evaluation data and model output.

进一步的,本实施例还提供一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估系统,包括:采集模块,用于采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;提取模块,将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;优化模块,用于使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;评估模块,用于将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;分析模块,用于对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。Furthermore, the present embodiment also provides an online evaluation system for an excitation system of a thermal power unit, comprising: an acquisition module, for collecting data of the excitation system of the thermal power unit and other relevant data, integrating them, and performing preprocessing; an extraction module, for performing feature extraction on the preprocessed integrated data, establishing a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of the thermal power unit, and performing performance analysis; an optimization module, for training and verifying the evaluation model using historical data, optimizing model parameters, and improving the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; an evaluation module, for inputting real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model, performing online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and outputting evaluation results; an analysis module, for analyzing the evaluation results, determining whether the performance of the excitation system has declined, achieving early detection of faults, and ensuring stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

本实施例还提供一种计算机设备,适用于火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的情况,包括存储器和处理器;存储器用于存储计算机可执行指令,处理器用于执行计算机可执行指令,实现如上述实施例提出的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法。This embodiment also provides a computer device, which is applicable to the case of an online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit, and includes a memory and a processor; the memory is used to store computer executable instructions, and the processor is used to execute the computer executable instructions to implement the online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit proposed in the above embodiment.

该计算机设备可以是终端,该计算机设备包括通过系统总线连接的处理器、存储器、通信接口、显示屏和输入装置。其中,该计算机设备的处理器用于提供计算和控制能力。该计算机设备的存储器包括非易失性存储介质、内存储器。该非易失性存储介质存储有操作系统和计算机程序。该内存储器为非易失性存储介质中的操作系统和计算机程序的运行提供环境。该计算机设备的通信接口用于与外部的终端进行有线或无线方式的通信,无线方式可通过WIFI、运营商网络、NFC(近场通信)或其他技术实现。该计算机设备的显示屏可以是液晶显示屏或者电子墨水显示屏,该计算机设备的输入装置可以是显示屏上覆盖的触摸层,也可以是计算机设备外壳上设置的按键、轨迹球或触控板,还可以是外接的键盘、触控板或鼠标等。The computer device may be a terminal, and the computer device includes a processor, a memory, a communication interface, a display screen and an input device connected via a system bus. Among them, the processor of the computer device is used to provide computing and control capabilities. The memory of the computer device includes a non-volatile storage medium and an internal memory. The non-volatile storage medium stores an operating system and a computer program. The internal memory provides an environment for the operation of the operating system and the computer program in the non-volatile storage medium. The communication interface of the computer device is used to communicate with an external terminal in a wired or wireless manner, and the wireless manner can be achieved through WIFI, an operator network, NFC (near field communication) or other technologies. The display screen of the computer device may be a liquid crystal display screen or an electronic ink display screen, and the input device of the computer device may be a touch layer covering the display screen, or a key, trackball or touchpad provided on the housing of the computer device, or an external keyboard, touchpad or mouse, etc.

本实施例还提供一种存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,该程序被处理器执行时实现以下步骤:采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否正常,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。The present embodiment also provides a storage medium on which a computer program is stored. When the program is executed by a processor, the following steps are implemented: collecting data of the excitation system of the thermal power unit and other relevant data, integrating them, and preprocessing them; extracting features from the preprocessed integrated data, establishing a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of the thermal power unit, and performing performance analysis; using historical data to train and verify the evaluation model, optimize model parameters, and improve the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; inputting real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model, performing online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and outputting evaluation results; analyzing the evaluation results to determine whether the performance of the excitation system is normal, achieve early detection of faults, and ensure stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

综上,本发明通过结合动态时间规整DTW和均方误差MSE进行特征提取,提高故障预测的准确性;使用DTW分析和性能退化评估,及时识别系统微小变化和潜在的性能退化,实现故障的早期检测;通过考虑性能衰退率调整互信息值,决策树模型动态适应系统状态的变化,提高对新出现故障模式的适应能力;根据不同的火电机组励磁系统特性和运行条件进行灵活调整和优化,具备良好的可扩展性,从而提高运行效率,降低风险,并确保电力系统的稳定和可靠运行。In summary, the present invention improves the accuracy of fault prediction by combining dynamic time warping DTW and mean square error MSE for feature extraction; uses DTW analysis and performance degradation evaluation to timely identify small changes in the system and potential performance degradation, thereby achieving early detection of faults; by adjusting the mutual information value by considering the performance decay rate, the decision tree model dynamically adapts to changes in the system state and improves the adaptability to new fault modes; it flexibly adjusts and optimizes according to the characteristics and operating conditions of the excitation system of different thermal power units, and has good scalability, thereby improving operating efficiency, reducing risks, and ensuring stable and reliable operation of the power system.

实施例2Example 2

参照表3,为本发明第二个实施例,该实施例提供了一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,为了验证本发明的有益效果,通过经济效益计算和仿真实验进行科学论证。Referring to Table 3, which is a second embodiment of the present invention, this embodiment provides an online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit. In order to verify the beneficial effects of the present invention, scientific demonstration is carried out through economic benefit calculation and simulation experiments.

具体的,励磁机产生用于激励发电机电磁场的直流电流。这通常是一个小型的发电机,也称为励磁发电机;稳压器用于调整励磁机的电流,以确保发电机输出的电压维持在稳定水平。稳压器可以是机械式、电磁式或是基于现代电子元件的数字稳压器;励磁电源提供励磁机所需的直流电源,可以是直流发电机、整流器和电容器组成的系统;励磁控制系统监测电压、电流和其他相关参数,并根据需要调整稳压器和励磁电源的输出,以维持发电机的正常运行。Specifically, the exciter generates a DC current that excites the electromagnetic field of the generator. This is usually a small generator, also called an excitation generator; the voltage regulator is used to adjust the current of the exciter to ensure that the voltage output by the generator is maintained at a stable level. The voltage regulator can be mechanical, electromagnetic or digital based on modern electronic components; the excitation power supply provides the DC power required by the exciter, which can be a system consisting of a DC generator, rectifier and capacitors; the excitation control system monitors the voltage, current and other related parameters, and adjusts the output of the voltage regulator and excitation power supply as needed to maintain the normal operation of the generator.

进一步的,励磁系统运行原理,当火电机组启动时,励磁机产生的直流电流用于激励发电机的电磁场;通常在启动阶段,励磁电源可以通过外部直流电源提供,以确保发电机在启动过程中能够建立电磁场;在运行阶段中,如果发电机建立了足够的电磁场,则励磁电源开始提供激励电流,稳压器监测发电机的输出电压,并根据设定值调整励磁机的电流,以保持输出电压在合适的水平。Furthermore, the operating principle of the excitation system is that when the thermal power unit is started, the DC current generated by the exciter is used to excite the electromagnetic field of the generator; usually in the starting phase, the excitation power supply can be provided by an external DC power supply to ensure that the generator can establish an electromagnetic field during the starting process; in the operating phase, if the generator has established a sufficient electromagnetic field, the excitation power supply starts to provide excitation current, the voltage regulator monitors the output voltage of the generator, and adjusts the current of the exciter according to the set value to keep the output voltage at an appropriate level.

更进一步的,当负载发生变化时,励磁控制系统通过监测发电机输出调整励磁电流,以确保输出电压的稳定性。这是通过调整励磁电流来改变电磁场的强度实现的;励磁系统还包括故障保护功能,例如过电流保护、过压保护和欠电压保护,以确保系统在异常情况下能够安全停机或切换到备用模式。Furthermore, when the load changes, the excitation control system adjusts the excitation current by monitoring the generator output to ensure the stability of the output voltage. This is achieved by adjusting the excitation current to change the strength of the electromagnetic field; the excitation system also includes fault protection functions such as overcurrent protection, overvoltage protection and undervoltage protection to ensure that the system can be safely shut down or switched to standby mode under abnormal conditions.

具体的,如表1所示,故障预测准确率方面,传统方法的准确率为75%,而本发明的准确率达到了92%,明显提高了17个百分点。这意味着本发明能够更准确地预测火电机组励磁系统的故障,帮助操作人员采取及时的维修措施。Specifically, as shown in Table 1, in terms of fault prediction accuracy, the accuracy of the traditional method is 75%, while the accuracy of the present invention reaches 92%, which is significantly improved by 17 percentage points. This means that the present invention can more accurately predict the fault of the excitation system of the thermal power unit and help the operator take timely maintenance measures.

表3传统方法和本发明对比表Table 3 Comparison between traditional method and the present invention

进一步的,早期故障检测能力方面,传统方法只能检测到50%的早期故障,而本发明提升至81%,提高了31个百分点。这意味着本发明具备更强的故障预警能力,能够在故障发生的早期阶段捕捉到问题,有助于避免更严重的后果。Furthermore, in terms of early fault detection capability, the traditional method can only detect 50% of early faults, while the present invention increases this to 81%, an increase of 31 percentage points. This means that the present invention has a stronger fault early warning capability and can capture problems at the early stage of a fault, helping to avoid more serious consequences.

更进一步的,对于新故障模式的适应能力,传统方法一般适应能力,而本发明具备高的适应能力。这表示本发明能够有效应对新出现的故障模式,即使是之前没遇到过的情况,也能够提供准确的故障诊断和预测。Furthermore, the adaptability of the conventional method to new fault modes is generally low, while the present invention has high adaptability. This means that the present invention can effectively deal with new fault modes, and can provide accurate fault diagnosis and prediction even for situations that have not been encountered before.

具体的,在维护成本方面,传统方法的维护成本为30000,而本发明的维护成本为40000。虽然本发明的维护成本略高,但其提升的故障预测准确性和早期故障检测能力,以及对新故障模式的适应能力,能够帮助降低更高成本的事故发生率和维修费用。Specifically, in terms of maintenance cost, the maintenance cost of the traditional method is 30,000, while the maintenance cost of the present invention is 40,000. Although the maintenance cost of the present invention is slightly higher, its improved fault prediction accuracy and early fault detection capabilities, as well as its adaptability to new fault modes, can help reduce the higher cost accident rate and maintenance costs.

进一步的,本发明在系统可靠性和用户友好性方面也优于传统方法。通过提升故障预测准确率和早期故障检测能力,本发明能够提高系统的可靠性,避免事故的发生。同时,本发明在用户友好性方面也有所改进,提供更易于操作和理解的界面和结果展示。Furthermore, the present invention is also superior to traditional methods in terms of system reliability and user-friendliness. By improving the accuracy of fault prediction and early fault detection capabilities, the present invention can improve the reliability of the system and avoid accidents. At the same time, the present invention has also improved user-friendliness, providing an interface and result display that is easier to operate and understand.

更进一步的,数据处理和分析时间方面,本发明优于传统方法。由于使用了更先进的算法和技术,本发明能够更快速地处理和分析大量数据,提供实时的反馈和结果。Furthermore, the present invention is superior to traditional methods in terms of data processing and analysis time. Due to the use of more advanced algorithms and technologies, the present invention can process and analyze large amounts of data more quickly and provide real-time feedback and results.

综上,本发明相比传统方法在故障预测准确率、早期故障检测能力、对新故障模式的适应能力、系统可靠性、用户友好性以及数据处理和分析时间等方面都表现得更加出色。这些改进能够帮助提高火电机组励磁系统的性能评估和故障预测能力,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。In summary, compared with the traditional method, the present invention performs better in fault prediction accuracy, early fault detection capability, adaptability to new fault modes, system reliability, user friendliness, and data processing and analysis time. These improvements can help improve the performance evaluation and fault prediction capabilities of the excitation system of thermal power units and ensure the stable and reliable operation of the excitation system.

应说明的是,以上实施例仅用以说明本发明的技术方案而非限制,尽管参照较佳实施例对本发明进行了详细说明,本领域的普通技术人员应当理解,可以对本发明的技术方案进行修改或者等同替换,而不脱离本发明技术方案的精神和范围,其均应涵盖在本发明的权利要求范围当中。It should be noted that the above embodiments are only used to illustrate the technical solutions of the present invention rather than to limit it. Although the present invention has been described in detail with reference to the preferred embodiments, those skilled in the art should understand that the technical solutions of the present invention may be modified or replaced by equivalents without departing from the spirit and scope of the technical solutions of the present invention, which should all be included in the scope of the claims of the present invention.

Claims (10)

1.一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:包括,1. An online evaluation method for an excitation system of a thermal power unit, characterized in that: it comprises: 采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;Collect data from the excitation system of thermal power units and other related data, integrate them, and perform preprocessing; 将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;Extract features from pre-processed integrated data, establish a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of thermal power units, and perform performance analysis; 使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;Use historical data to train and verify the evaluation model, optimize model parameters, and improve the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; 将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;Input the real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model to conduct online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults and output the evaluation results; 对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。Analyze the evaluation results to determine whether the performance of the excitation system has declined, achieve early detection of faults, and ensure stable and reliable operation of the excitation system. 2.如权利要求1所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述并进行预处理包括以下步骤:2. The online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power plant according to claim 1, characterized in that the preprocessing comprises the following steps: 对数据缺失值进行线性插值处理;Linear interpolation is performed on missing data values; 当相同时间戳的数据全部丢失,则使用线性插值处理丢失的数据;When all data with the same timestamp are lost, linear interpolation is used to process the missing data; 当相同时间戳的数据P或D中出现一个数据缺失,则通过分析相同时间戳下的其他数据补齐数据;When one data is missing in data P or D with the same timestamp, the data is supplemented by analyzing other data with the same timestamp; 对于每个数据序列计算连续时间点之间的变化率;For each data series, the rate of change between consecutive time points is calculated; 根据变化率的相关性估计缺失数据的变化率,并选择与缺失数据变化率相关性最高的数据序列Pi和DjEstimate the change rate of missing data according to the correlation of the change rate, and select the data series P i and D j with the highest correlation with the change rate of missing data; 若数据序列Pi缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔPi^(t)=α+β·ΔDj(t);If the data sequence Pi is missing, the estimated rate of change of the missing data is ΔPi ^(t) = α + β· ΔDj (t); 若数据序列Dj缺失,则估计缺失数据的变化率为ΔDj^(t)=α+β·ΔPi(t),其中α和β为基于历史数据计算的系数;If the data sequence D j is missing, the estimated rate of change of the missing data is ΔD j ^(t) = α + β·ΔP i (t), where α and β are coefficients calculated based on historical data; 使用估计的变化率补齐缺失数据,若Pi(t-1)已知,则Pi(t)=Pi(t-1)×(1+ΔPi^(t));若Dj(t-1)已知,则Dj(t)=Dj(t-1)×(1+ΔDj^(t))。Use the estimated rate of change to fill in the missing data. If Pi (t-1) is known, then Pi (t) = Pi (t-1) × (1 + ΔPi ^ (t)); if D j (t-1) is known, then D j (t) = D j (t-1) × (1 + ΔD j ^ (t)). 3.如权利要求2所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述对于每个数据序列计算连续时间点之间的变化率的相关公式如下:3. The online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power plant according to claim 2, characterized in that: the relevant formula for calculating the change rate between consecutive time points for each data sequence is as follows: ΔPi(t)=Pi(t-1)Pi(t)-Pi(t-1)ΔP i (t) = P i (t-1)P i (t) - P i (t-1) ΔDi(t)=Dj(t-1)Dj(t)-Dj(t-1)ΔD i (t) = D j (t-1) D j (t) - D j (t-1) 其中,Pi和Dj均为数据序列,t为时间戳;Among them, Pi and Dj are data sequences, and t is the timestamp; 所述对数据缺失值进行线性插值处理的相关公式如下:The relevant formula for linear interpolation of missing data values is as follows: 其中,t为时间戳,t1和t2均为相邻时间点。Among them, t is the timestamp, and t1 and t2 are adjacent time points. 4.如权利要求1所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述并进行性能分析包括以下步骤:4. The online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power plant according to claim 1, characterized in that the performance analysis comprises the following steps: 捕捉时间序列数据中的动态模式和形状;Capture dynamic patterns and shapes in time series data; 使用动态时间弯曲(DTW)算法比较时间序列,并提取相似模式,其相关公式如下:The dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm is used to compare time series and extract similar patterns. The relevant formula is as follows: 其中,S和T均为时间序列;Among them, S and T are time series; 估计时间序列数据的复杂性和不规则性,计算多尺度熵,其相关公式如下:Estimate the complexity and irregularity of time series data and calculate multiscale entropy. The relevant formula is as follows: MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x)MSE(k)=-∑p(x)logp(x) 其中,p(x)为在尺度k上的概率分配。Among them, p(x) is the probability distribution at scale k. 5.如权利要求4所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述使用动态时间弯曲(DTW)算法比较时间序列包括以下步骤:5. The online evaluation method for the excitation system of a thermal power plant according to claim 4, characterized in that: the comparison of time series using a dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm comprises the following steps: 当DDTW≤θdeg,则判断为性能正常;When D DTW ≤θ deg , the performance is judged to be normal; 当DDTW>θdeg,则判断为性能衰退;若性能发生衰退,则调整互信息的数值,其相关公式如下:When D DTWdeg , it is judged that the performance is degraded; if the performance is degraded, the value of the mutual information is adjusted, and the relevant formula is as follows: 其中,B为每次达到衰退率的时间按照最长步长计算的步数,Rdecay为衰退率,MI为整个信息的数值,其具体公式如下:Among them, B is the number of steps calculated according to the longest step length each time the decay rate is reached, R decay is the decay rate, and MI is the value of the entire information. The specific formula is as follows: MI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)logp(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈YMI(X;Y)=∑p(x,y)logp(y)p(x,y)x∈X,y∈Y 其中,X为量化特征,Y为故障标签。Among them, X is the quantitative feature and Y is the fault label. 6.如权利要求1所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中包括以下步骤:6. The method for online evaluation of the excitation system for a thermal power plant according to claim 1, characterized in that: the step of inputting the real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model comprises the following steps: 在实时输入数据到评估模型时,进行实时异常检测;Perform real-time anomaly detection when inputting data into the evaluation model in real time; 当输入数据正常,则评估模型按照预定的流程执行,输出对应的评估结果;When the input data is normal, the evaluation model is executed according to the predetermined process and the corresponding evaluation results are output; 当输入数据异常,则输出相应的警报并记录异常信息,并将不同的异常情况,设置异常等级,灵活地处理异常情况;When the input data is abnormal, the corresponding alarm is output and the abnormal information is recorded. Different abnormal situations are set with abnormal levels to handle abnormal situations flexibly. 若异常等级为一级,则记录异常信息,同时继续执行评估模型,并在后续的报告中标明异常等级;If the abnormality level is level 1, the abnormality information is recorded, the evaluation model continues to be executed, and the abnormality level is indicated in the subsequent report; 若异常等级为二级,则输出警报,同时暂停当前评估任务;If the abnormality level is level 2, an alarm is output and the current evaluation task is suspended; 若异常等级为三级,则立即停止当前任务,输出紧急警报,并触发相应的系统自救机制。If the abnormality level is level three, the current task will be stopped immediately, an emergency alarm will be output, and the corresponding system self-rescue mechanism will be triggered. 7.如权利要求1所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:所述判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退包括以下步骤:7. The method for online evaluation of the excitation system for a thermal power plant according to claim 1, wherein the step of judging whether the performance of the excitation system is degraded comprises the following steps: 通过对评估结果进行分析建立故障模式;Establish failure modes by analyzing the evaluation results; 当实时评估结果与已知故障模式匹配度不匹配,则记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出;When the real-time evaluation result does not match the known fault mode, the current real-time evaluation data and model output are recorded; 当实时评估结果与已知故障模式高度匹配,则触发故障检测,提醒进行更深入的检查和维护;When the real-time assessment results are highly matched with known fault modes, fault detection is triggered, prompting more in-depth inspection and maintenance; 当实时评估结果与已知故障模式低度匹配,则选择轻度处理,记录当前实时评估的数据和模型输出。When the real-time evaluation results have a low match with the known fault mode, light processing is selected to record the current real-time evaluation data and model output. 8.一种火电机组用励磁系统线上评估系统,基于权利要求1~7任一所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法,其特征在于:包括,8. An online evaluation system for an excitation system of a thermal power unit, based on the online evaluation method for an excitation system of a thermal power unit according to any one of claims 1 to 7, characterized in that it comprises: 采集模块,用于采集火电机组用励磁系统的数据和其他相关数据进行集成,并进行预处理;The acquisition module is used to collect data from the excitation system of the thermal power unit and other related data for integration and preprocessing; 提取模块,将预处理后的集成数据进行特征提取,建立火电机组励磁系统性能评估模型,并进行性能分析;The extraction module extracts features from the preprocessed integrated data, establishes a performance evaluation model for the excitation system of a thermal power unit, and performs performance analysis; 优化模块,用于使用历史数据对评估模型进行训练和验证,优化模型参数,提高评估模型的准确性和可靠性;The optimization module is used to train and verify the evaluation model using historical data, optimize model parameters, and improve the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation model; 评估模块,用于将实时采集的数据输入到训练好的评估模型中,进行励磁系统故障的在线评估和预测,并输出评估结果;The evaluation module is used to input the real-time collected data into the trained evaluation model, perform online evaluation and prediction of excitation system faults, and output the evaluation results; 分析模块,用于对评估结果进行分析,判断励磁系统的性能是否衰退,实现故障的早期检测,确保励磁系统的稳定和可靠运行。The analysis module is used to analyze the evaluation results, determine whether the performance of the excitation system has declined, realize early detection of faults, and ensure the stable and reliable operation of the excitation system. 9.一种计算机设备,包括存储器和处理器,所述存储器存储有计算机程序,其特征在于:所述处理器执行所述计算机程序时实现权利要求1~7任一所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的步骤。9. A computer device, comprising a memory and a processor, wherein the memory stores a computer program, wherein the processor implements the steps of the online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit according to any one of claims 1 to 7 when executing the computer program. 10.一种计算机可读存储介质,其上存储有计算机程序,其特征在于:所述计算机程序被处理器执行时实现权利要求1~7任一所述的火电机组用励磁系统线上评估方法的步骤。10. A computer-readable storage medium having a computer program stored thereon, characterized in that: when the computer program is executed by a processor, the steps of the online evaluation method for an excitation system for a thermal power unit according to any one of claims 1 to 7 are implemented.
CN202410225419.0A 2024-02-29 2024-02-29 On-line evaluation method and system for excitation system of thermal power generating unit Pending CN118194699A (en)

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* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
CN118536409A (en) * 2024-07-26 2024-08-23 西安热工研究院有限公司 Method and system for predicting inter-gate short circuit of generator rotor winding based on correction prediction

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