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brianpenrod/README.md

🎯 MISSION: ECONOMICS → DECISIONS (STRATEGY & ANALYTICS)

I build decision-support systems that translate unit economics into executive-ready narratives: margin drivers → scenarios → monitoring → recommendation.

I’m a DBA (Finance), retired Special Operations Command Sergeant Major, and business owner. My work focuses on profitability, forecasting, scenario projection, KPI monitoring, and disciplined execution—built with Python/SQL so leaders can move faster with confidence.


✅ START HERE (2–5 minutes)

If you’re reviewing me for Sr Business Manager / Strategy & Analytics roles, these are the fastest proof points:

  1. Concierge Economics Case Study (NEW) — unit economics + margin bridge + scenarios + monitoring plan
    https://github.com/brianpenrod/concierge-economics-case-study

  2. Finance Operator Toolkit — variance bridges + exec memos + flash reports
    https://github.com/brianpenrod/finance-operator-toolkit

  3. C.A.P.E. Forecasting Co-Pilot — forecasting governance + drift/monitoring concepts
    https://github.com/brianpenrod/cape-forecasting-copilot

  4. FP&A Financial Engineering Portfolio — scenario engines (risk simulation / headcount / rolling forecast)
    https://github.com/brianpenrod/fpa-financial-engineering


🧠 WHAT I BUILD

Strategy & analytics artifacts that leadership teams actually use:

  • Unit economics and margin drivers (price/volume/mix, cost drivers, throughput)
  • Scenario projections (base/upside/downside) with clear assumptions
  • Monitoring & impact measurement (KPI definitions, thresholds, cadence, dashboards)
  • Executive narrative (options, tradeoffs, recommendation — written for senior leaders)

🛠️ STRATEGY & ANALYTICS STACK

Core Engineering Analytics & BI Modeling & Planning
Python SQL Scenario
Polars Power BI Forecasting
Pandas Jupyter Excel

🚀 FEATURED WORK (PORTFOLIO)

1) 📈 Concierge Economics Case Study (NEW)

https://github.com/brianpenrod/concierge-economics-case-study

Purpose: Demonstrates how I approach economics for a service business:

  • Margin drivers + unit economics
  • Scenario projections (base/upside/downside)
  • Testing & monitoring plan (KPIs, thresholds, cadence)
  • Executive memo with options/tradeoffs/recommendation

Output: a tight “economics narrative” that a senior leader can act on.


2) 💼 Finance Operator Toolkit — Decision Support

https://github.com/brianpenrod/finance-operator-toolkit
Purpose: The “last mile” of analytics — turning results into executive action.
Includes: variance bridges (Price/Volume/Mix), decision memos, and reproducible reporting templates.

Output: clean, repeatable narratives and decision artifacts.


3) 🤖 C.A.P.E. — Forecasting Co-Pilot (Governance + Monitoring)

https://github.com/brianpenrod/cape-forecasting-copilot
Purpose: Forecasting governance and monitoring concepts applied to business planning.
Focus: challenging assumptions, detecting drift, and improving forecast discipline.

Output: a practical framework for forecast quality and early-warning monitoring.


4) ⚙️ FP&A Financial Engineering Portfolio — Scenario Engines

https://github.com/brianpenrod/fpa-financial-engineering
Purpose: Planning engines that scale beyond spreadsheets.
Modules: scenario modeling, headcount cost modeling, and driver-based rolling forecasts.

Output: structured planning logic that separates assumptions from mechanics.



📬 CONNECT

LinkedIn Email



"The standard isn’t reporting the problem. It’s bringing options, tradeoffs, and a recommendation."

Pinned Loading

  1. market-neutral-strategy market-neutral-strategy Public

    Algorithmic trading model predicting stock rankings for the Numerai Hedge Fund tournament.

  2. Algorithmic-Market-Recon Algorithmic-Market-Recon Public

    Automated Python system for pre-market regime identification, volatility analysis (ATR), and statistical control limits (VWAP) for Futures markets.

    Jupyter Notebook

  3. quant-core-notebook-pack quant-core-notebook-pack Public

    Decision Quality Analytics Toolkit: time-series validation, leakage audits, and reproducible notebooks.

    Jupyter Notebook

  4. cape-forecasting-copilot cape-forecasting-copilot Public

    "A drift-aware, twin-engine (XGBoost/LightGBM) ensemble forecasting pipeline designed to replace static FP&A run-rates with stationary, stochastic prediction models.

    Jupyter Notebook

  5. finance-operator-toolkit finance-operator-toolkit Public

    FP&A Command Pack

    Jupyter Notebook

  6. concierge-economics-case-study concierge-economics-case-study Public

    Unit economics + margin + scenarios + monitoring + executive memo (synthetic)

    Jupyter Notebook

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