| Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects C Deser, F Lehner, KB Rodgers, T Ault, TL Delworth, PN DiNezio, A Fiore, ... Nature Climate Change 10 (4), 277-286, 2020 | 885 | 2020 |
| Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate AG Pendergrass, R Knutti, F Lehner, C Deser, BM Sanderson Scientific reports 7 (1), 17966, 2017 | 727 | 2017 |
| Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models KB Tokarska, MB Stolpe, S Sippel, EM Fischer, CJ Smith, F Lehner, ... Science Advances 6 (12), eaaz9549, 2020 | 624 | 2020 |
| Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6 F Lehner, C Deser, N Maher, J Marotzke, EM Fischer, L Brunner, R Knutti, ... Earth System Dynamics 11 (2), 491-491, 2020 | 573 | 2020 |
| Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change GJ van Oldenborgh, F Krikken, S Lewis, NJ Leach, F Lehner, ... Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 21 (3), 941-960, 2021 | 538 | 2021 |
| Projected increases and shifts in rain-on-snow flood risk over western North America KN Musselman, F Lehner, K Ikeda, MP Clark, AF Prein, C Liu, M Barlage, ... Nature Climate Change 8 (9), 808-812, 2018 | 531 | 2018 |
| Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction AG Pendergrass, GA Meehl, R Pulwarty, M Hobbins, A Hoell, ... Nature Climate Change 10 (3), 191-199, 2020 | 493 | 2020 |
| Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021 SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ Van Oldenborgh, FS Anslow, SI Seneviratne, ... Earth System Dynamics 13 (4), 1689-1713, 2022 | 475 | 2022 |
| Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence L Brunner, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner, AL Merrifield, R Lorenz, R Knutti Earth System Dynamics 11 (4), 995-1012, 2020 | 354 | 2020 |
| Projected drought risk in 1.5 C and 2 C warmer climates F Lehner, S Coats, TF Stocker, AG Pendergrass, BM Sanderson, ... Geophysical Research Letters 44 (14), 7419-7428, 2017 | 353 | 2017 |
| A model-tested North Atlantic Oscillation reconstruction for the past millennium P Ortega, F Lehner, D Swingedouw, V Masson-Delmotte, CC Raible, ... Nature 523 (7558), 71-74, 2015 | 337 | 2015 |
| Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017 FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, ... Environmental Research Letters 13 (12), 124010, 2018 | 298 | 2018 |
| Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events E Bevacqua, G Zappa, F Lehner, J Zscheischler Nature Climate Change 12 (4), 350-355, 2022 | 287 | 2022 |
| Rapidly declining remarkability of temperature anomalies may obscure public perception of climate change FC Moore, N Obradovich, F Lehner, P Baylis Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116 (11), 4905-4910, 2019 | 282 | 2019 |
| Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2° C futures BM Sanderson, Y Xu, C Tebaldi, M Wehner, B O'Neill, A Jahn, ... Earth System Dynamics 8 (3), 827-847, 2017 | 213 | 2017 |
| Isolating the evolving contributions of anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases: A new CESM1 large ensemble community resource C Deser, AS Phillips, IR Simpson, N Rosenbloom, D Coleman, F Lehner, ... Journal of Climate 33 (18), 7835-7858, 2020 | 179 | 2020 |
| Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018 F Krikken, F Lehner, K Haustein, I Drobyshev, GJ van Oldenborgh Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 21 (7), 2169-2179, 2021 | 177 | 2021 |
| Megadroughts in the common Era and the anthropocene BI Cook, JE Smerdon, ER Cook, AP Williams, KJ Anchukaitis, JS Mankin, ... Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 1-17, 2022 | 169 | 2022 |
| The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models F Lehner, AW Wood, JA Vano, DM Lawrence, MP Clark, JS Mankin Nature Climate Change 9 (12), 926-933, 2019 | 166 | 2019 |
| Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations E Bevacqua, L Suarez-Gutierrez, A Jézéquel, F Lehner, M Vrac, P Yiou, ... Nature Communications 14 (1), 2145, 2023 | 160 | 2023 |
Clara DeserSenior Scientist, NCARVerified email at ucar.edu
