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Marcel Neunhoeffer
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Observing many researchers using the same data and hypothesis reveals a hidden universe of uncertainty
N Breznau, EM Rinke, A Wuttke, M Adem, J Adriaans, ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 119 (44), 2022
2512022
The role of hyperparameters in machine learning models and how to tune them
C Arnold, L Biedebach, A Küpfer, M Neunhoeffer
Political Science Research and Methods 12 (4), 841-848, 2024
1542024
How cross-validation can go wrong and what to do about it
M Neunhoeffer, S Sternberg
Political Analysis 27 (1), 101-106, 2019
702019
Really Useful Synthetic Data--A Framework to Evaluate the Quality of Differentially Private Synthetic Data
C Arnold, M Neunhoeffer
arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.07740, 2020
622020
Private Post-GAN Boosting
M Neunhoeffer, ZS Wu, C Dwork
International Conference on Learning Representations, 2021
442021
Forecasting Elections in Multiparty Systems: A Bayesian Approach Combining Polls and Fundamentals
LF Stoetzer, M Neunhoeffer, T Gschwend, S Munzert, S Sternberg
Political Analysis 27 (2), 255-262, 2019
422019
Zweitstimme. org. Ein strukturell-dynamisches Vorhersagemodell für Bundestagswahlen
S Munzert, L Stötzer, T Gschwend, M Neunhoeffer, S Sternberg
PVS Politische Vierteljahresschrift 58 (3), 418-441, 2017
232017
Continual Release of Differentially Private Synthetic Data from Longitudinal Data Collections
M Bun, M Gaboardi, M Neunhoeffer, W Zhang
Proceedings of the ACM on Management of Data 2 (2), 1-26, 2024
122024
The Zweitstimme model: A dynamic forecast of the 2021 German federal election
T Gschwend, K Müller, S Munzert, M Neunhoeffer, LF Stoetzer
PS: Political Science & Politics 55 (1), 85-90, 2022
122022
Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen
M Neunhoeffer, T Gschwend, S Munzert, LF Stoetzer
PVS Politische Vierteljahresschrift 61 (1), 111–130, 2020
11*2020
How to Improve the Substantive Interpretation of Regression Results when the Dependent Variable is logged
O Rittmann, M Neunhoeffer, T Gschwend
Political Science Research and Methods 13 (1), 203-211, 2025
92025
The Crowdsourced Replication Initiative: Investigating Immigration and Social Policy Preferences. Executive Report.
N Breznau, EM Rinke, A Wuttke, M Adem, J Adriaans, ...
92019
Generating Synthetic Data is Complicated: Know Your Data and Know Your Generator
J Latner, M Neunhoeffer, J Drechsler
International Conference on Privacy in Statistical Databases, 115-128, 2024
82024
The reliability of replications: A study in computational reproductions
N Breznau, EM Rinke, A Wuttke, M Adem, J Adriaans, E Akdeniz, ...
Royal Society Open Science 12 (3), 241038, 2025
62025
On the formal privacy guarantees of synthetic data (generated without formal privacy guarantees)
M Neunhoeffer, J Seeman, J Drechsler
Harvard Data Science Review, 2025
5*2025
How many replicators does it take to achieve reliability? Investigating researcher variability in a crowdsourced replication
N Breznau, EM Rinke, A Wuttke, HHV Nguyen, M Adem, J Adriaans, ...
SocArXiv, 2021
52021
Rallying around the leader in times of crises: The opposing effects of perceived threat and anxiety
R Lehrer, O Bahnsen, K Müller, M Neunhoeffer, T Gschwend, S Juhl
European Journal of Political Research 64 (2), 697-718, 2025
42025
Working with Synthetic Data: The Do's, Dangers and Don'ts
C Arnold, M Neunhoeffer
Sage Research Methods: Research and Data Literacy, 2025
2025
How to improve the substantive interpretation of regression results when the dependent variable is logged–ERRATUM
O Rittmann, M Neunhoeffer, T Gschwend
Political Science Research and Methods 13 (1), 244-244, 2025
2025
Generative adversarial nets for social scientists
M Neunhoeffer
Universität Mannheim, 2023
2023
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Articles 1–20