| The rise of data-driven weather forecasting: A first statistical assessment of machine learning–based weather forecasts in an operational-like context Z Ben Bouallègue, MCA Clare, L Magnusson, E Gascón, M Maier-Gerber, ... Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 105 (6), E864-E883, 2024 | 272 | 2024 |
| AIFS-ECMWF's data-driven forecasting system S Lang, M Alexe, M Chantry, J Dramsch, F Pinault, B Raoult, MCA Clare, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2406.01465, 2024 | 185 | 2024 |
| Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Bayesian Neural Networks: Towards trustworthy predictions of ocean dynamics MCA Clare, M Sonnewald, R Lguensat, J Deshayes, V Balaji Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14 (11), e2022MS003162, 2022 | 67 | 2022 |
| Combining distribution‐based neural networks to predict weather forecast probabilities MCA Clare, O Jamil, C Morcrette Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 147 (741), 2021 | 53 | 2021 |
| Improving medium-range ensemble weather forecasts with hierarchical ensemble transformers ZB Bouallègue, JA Weyn, MCA Clare, J Dramsch, P Dueben, M Chantry Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems 3 (1), e230027, 2024 | 46 | 2024 |
| AIFS-CRPS: Ensemble forecasting using a model trained with a loss function based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score S Lang, M Alexe, MCA Clare, C Roberts, R Adewoyin, ZB Bouallègue, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.15832, 2024 | 41* | 2024 |
| Accelerated wind farm yaw and layout optimisation with multi-fidelity deep transfer learning wake models SJ Anagnostopoulos, J Bauer, MCA Clare, MD Piggott Renewable Energy 218, 119293, 2023 | 23 | 2023 |
| Assessing erosion and flood risk in the coastal zone through the application of multilevel Monte Carlo methods MCA Clare, MD Piggott, CJ Cotter Coastal Engineering 174, 104118, 2022 | 22 | 2022 |
| Hydro-morphodynamics 2D modelling using a discontinuous Galerkin discretisation MCA Clare, JR Percival, A Angeloudis, CJ Cotter, MD Piggott Computers & Geosciences 146, 104658, 2021 | 19 | 2021 |
| Calibration, inversion and sensitivity analysis for hydro-morphodynamic models through the application of adjoint methods MCA Clare, SC Kramer, CJ Cotter, MD Piggott Computers & Geosciences 163, 105104, 2022 | 16* | 2022 |
| Robustness of AI-based weather forecasts in a changing climate T Rackow, N Koldunov, C Lessig, I Sandu, M Alexe, M Chantry, M Clare, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.18529, 2024 | 14 | 2024 |
| Multilevel multifidelity Monte Carlo methods for assessing uncertainty in coastal flooding MCA Clare, TWB Leijnse, RT McCall, FLM Diermanse, CJ Cotter, ... Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 22 (8), 2491-2515, 2022 | 13* | 2022 |
| AIFS: A new ECMWF forecasting system S Lang, M Alexe, M Chantry, J Dramsch, F Pinault, B Raoult, ... ECMWF Newsletter 178, 4-5, 2024 | 12 | 2024 |
| Multi-scale hydro-morphodynamic modelling using mesh movement methods MCA Clare, J Wallwork, SC Kramer, H Weller, CJ Cotter, M Piggott GEM-International Journal on Geomathematics 13 (1), 1--39, 2022 | 11 | 2022 |
| Bayesian neural networks for the probabilistic forecasting of wind direction and speed using ocean data MCA Clare, MD Piggott Trends in Renewable Energies Offshore, 533-540, 2022 | 6 | 2022 |
| An unsupervised learning approach for predicting wind farm power and downstream wakes using weather patterns MCA Clare, SC Warder, R Neal, B Bhaskaran, MD Piggott Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 16 (2), e2023MS003947, 2024 | 5 | 2024 |
| Enter the ensembles S Lang, M Chantry, R Adewoyin, M Alexe, ZB Bouallègue, M Clare, ... ECMWF blog post, 2024b. doi: http://dx. doi. org/10.21957/a791daf964. URL …, 2024 | 5 | 2024 |
| AIFS-ECMWF's Data-Driven Forecasting System M Chantry, S Lang, M Alexe, J Dramsch, B Raoult, M Clare, M Santa Cruz, ... 105th Annual AMS Meeting 2025 105, 449087, 2025 | 4 | 2025 |
| Southern Ocean Dynamics Under Climate Change: New Knowledge Through Physics-Guided Machine Learning W Yik, M Sonnewald, MCA Clare, R Lguensat arXiv preprint arXiv:2310.13916, 2023 | 4 | 2023 |
| AIFS 1.1. 0: An update to ECMWF's machine-learned weather forecast model AIFS G Moldovan, E Pinnington, A Prieto Nemesio, S Lang, Z Ben Bouallègue, ... EGUsphere 2025, 1-23, 2025 | 3* | 2025 |
Matthew ChantryEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsVerified email at ecmwf.int
