| Do stay-at-home orders cause people to stay at home? Effects of stay-at-home orders on consumer behavior D Alexander, E Karger Review of Economics and Statistics 105 (4), 1017-1027, 2023 | 299* | 2023 |
| State and local efforts to investigate the validity and reliability of scores from teacher evaluation systems C Herlihy, E Karger, C Pollard, HC Hill, MA Kraft, M Williams, S Howard Teachers College Record 116 (1), 1-28, 2014 | 154 | 2014 |
| Heterogeneity in the marginal propensity to consume: evidence from Covid-19 stimulus payments E Karger, A Rajan Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Working Paper, 2020 | 149 | 2020 |
| School closures during the 1918 flu pandemic P Ager, K Eriksson, E Karger, P Nencka, MA Thomasson Review of Economics and Statistics, 2023 | 68 | 2023 |
| The Census Place Project: A Method for Geolocating Unstructured Place Names E Berkes, E Karger, P Nencka Explorations in Economic History, 2023 | 62 | 2023 |
| The returns to public library investment G Gilpin, E Karger, P Nencka American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2023 | 48 | 2023 |
| Forecasting existential risks evidence from a long-run forecasting tournament E Karger, J Rosenberg, Z Jacobs, M Hickman, R Hadshar, K Gamin, ... Working Paper, 2023 | 43 | 2023 |
| AI-Augmented Predictions: LLM Assistants Improve Human Forecasting Accuracy P Schoenegger, PS Park, E Karger, S Trott, PE Tetlock ACM Transactions on Interactive Intelligent Systems, 2024 | 39 | 2024 |
| Forecastbench: A dynamic benchmark of AI forecasting capabilities E Karger, H Bastani, C Yueh-Han, Z Jacobs, D Halawi, F Zhang, ... International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), 2025 | 36 | 2025 |
| The long-run effect of public libraries on children: Evidence from the early 1900s E Karger Working Paper, 2021 | 25* | 2021 |
| Heterogeneous impacts of sentencing decisions A Jordan, E Karger, D Neal Journal of Labor Economics, 2023 | 22 | 2023 |
| Antitrust enforcement increases economic activity T Babina, S Barkai, J Jeffers, E Karger, E Volkova NBER Working Paper, 2023 | 21 | 2023 |
| Reciprocal scoring: A method for forecasting unanswerable questions E Karger, J Monrad, B Mellers, P Tetlock SSRN Working Paper, 2021 | 19 | 2021 |
| Large Language Models Are More Persuasive Than Incentivized Human Persuaders P Schoenegger, F Salvi, J Liu, X Nan, R Debnath, B Fasolo, E Leivada, ... arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.09662, 2025 | 18 | 2025 |
| Improving Judgments of Existential Risk: Better Forecasts, Questions, Explanations, Policies E Karger, PD Atanasov, P Tetlock FHI Technical Report, 2022 | 11 | 2022 |
| Tracking US consumers in real time with a new weekly index of retail trade SA Brave, M Fogarty, D Aaronson, E Karger, SD Krane FRB of Chicago Working Paper No. WP-2021-05, 2021 | 10 | 2021 |
| School and Crime T Jones, E Karger CESifo Working Paper, 2023 | 9* | 2023 |
| The Democratization of Opportunity: The Effects of the US High School Movement A Doxey, E Karger, P Nencka Working Paper, 2022 | 8 | 2022 |
| Patent citations and stock performance: Constructing a dynamic industry classification S Gay, E Karger SSRN Working Paper, 2014 | 8 | 2014 |
| Classifying industries into tradable/nontradable via geographic radius served S Barkai, E Karger Nontradable via Geographic Radius Served (August 1, 2020), 2020 | 7 | 2020 |
Philip E. TetlockAnnenberg University Professor, Wharton & School of Arts and Sciences, University of PennsylvaniaVerified email at wharton.upenn.edu
