I have come to understand four very different time scales for development of technologies and their deployments. And I think people often jump between them and end up making outrageously wrong, and sometimes damaging, predictions of when in the future a technology is going to be able to do what. Time scale 1. New Research … Continue reading Four Time Scales for Technology Development and Deployment
Quick Summary: I am going to continue to do my yearly update on three sets of technologies every January 1st. I am going to decouple them from my prediction tables from the first post on January 1st, 2018, as the dates for predicted events are getting sparser, and at the same time many things have gone … Continue reading House Cleaning My January 1, 2018 Predictions
Nothing is ever as good as it first seems and nothing is ever as bad as it first seems. — A best memory paraphrase of advice given to me by Vice Admiral Joe Dyer, former chief test pilot of the US Navy and former Commander of NAVAIR. [You can follow me on social media: @rodneyabrooks.bsky.social … Continue reading Predictions Scorecard, 2026 January 01