Polymarket | The World’s Largest Prediction Market™

Global tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to AI slowdown fears

Opinion | Tech Stocks Got Hammered. Is the Economy Next?

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

U.S. Stocks Slide as AI Rally Hits a Wall

Global tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to AI slowdown fears

Opinion | Tech Stocks Got Hammered. Is the Economy Next?

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

U.S. Stocks Slide as AI Rally Hits a Wall

Global tech stocks plunge as US midterms add to AI slowdown fears

Opinion | Tech Stocks Got Hammered. Is the Economy Next?

Massive tech sell-off wipes $2.5 trillion from the stock market

Oaktree’s Howard Marks Says AI Stumbles Boosted Skepticism

U.S. Stocks Slide as AI Rally Hits a Wall

June 30, 2027 27%

December 31, 2026 8%

$3M Vol

Ends Jul 1, 2027·

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pete Hegseth

Susie Wiles

Kristi Noem

Markwayne Mullin

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Rubio Dismisses Reports He Will Leave His Jobs to Run for President

Rubio Weighs Leaving Administration After GOP’s Midterm Loss

Rubio tells NYT serving Trump to end of term 'has always been my plan'

Hegseth digs in as confident Democrats plan to go on offense after midterms

After Two Years of Unchecked Power, Trump Faces a Tough New Reality

Pete Hegseth 43%

Susie Wiles 40%

Kristi Noem 29%

Markwayne Mullin 24%

$2M Vol

Monthly

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

21%

JD Vance

20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

12%

Marco Rubio

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

Americans vote in midterms that could define Trump's closing chapter

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

Jon Ossoff 21%

JD Vance 20%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12%

Marco Rubio 9%

$734M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

98%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Dustin Darden

<1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

<1%

Trump Takes Fresh Aim at Alaska, Still Counting Its Senate Results

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Judge tosses DOJ’s attempt to delay Alaska’s Senate results if Republican loses

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

Trump Takes Fresh Aim at Alaska, Still Counting Its Senate Results

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Judge tosses DOJ’s attempt to delay Alaska’s Senate results if Republican loses

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

Trump Takes Fresh Aim at Alaska, Still Counting Its Senate Results

Alaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026

Judge dismisses Trump administration's lawsuit over two Dan Sullivans in Alaska election

Judge tosses DOJ’s attempt to delay Alaska’s Senate results if Republican loses

Trump administration bolsters bid to block Alaska Senate certification

Mary Peltola (D) 98%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) 2%

Dustin Darden <1%

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1%

$7M Vol

Ends Nov 4, 2026·

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

November 6

November 8

November 15

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

It’s the War, Stupid? / Trump’s Next Steps in Iran - Opinion: Potomac Watch - WSJ Podcasts

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

It’s the War, Stupid? / Trump’s Next Steps in Iran - Opinion: Potomac Watch - WSJ Podcasts

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

COMMENTARY: On AI and Iran, Trump risks bombing himself in the foot

It’s the War, Stupid? / Trump’s Next Steps in Iran - Opinion: Potomac Watch - WSJ Podcasts

Opinion | JD Vance’s stunning act of disloyalty

Iran’s leaders say midterm results show US voters have rejected Trump’s war

Living in Limbo, Iranians Brace for Trump’s Next Move

November 5 99%

November 6 94%

November 8 84%

November 15 59%

$1M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Kamala Harris

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

After midterm blowout, potential GOP 2028 candidates have some critiques

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

Jon Ossoff 28%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%

Gavin Newsom 12%

Kamala Harris 5%

$1B Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

June 30, 2027

December 31, 2026

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth’s ‘fight, fight, fight’ video pours fuel on impeachment flames

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth’s ‘fight, fight, fight’ video pours fuel on impeachment flames

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

Opinion | Impeachment isn’t on the menu? Yeah, right.

What Democrats can and can't do with their new power after taking Congress

What the Democrats’ Sweep of Congress Means for Trump

Hegseth’s ‘fight, fight, fight’ video pours fuel on impeachment flames

Hegseth vows to keep fighting from Pentagon, defends Iran war

December 31, 2027 56%

June 30, 2027 37%

December 31, 2026 2%

$1M Vol

Ends Jan 1, 2027·

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

78%

No change

21%

25 bps decrease

50+ bps increase

The Fed Begins Transition to Holding Fewer Policy Meetings a Year

What's happening to UK interest rates and what does it mean for mortgages?

Democrat Andrews Wins Historic Senate Race In South Carolina

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Flouting Consumer Law, Insurers Refuse to Pay Medical Bills for Emergency Care

The Fed Begins Transition to Holding Fewer Policy Meetings a Year

What's happening to UK interest rates and what does it mean for mortgages?

Democrat Andrews Wins Historic Senate Race In South Carolina

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Flouting Consumer Law, Insurers Refuse to Pay Medical Bills for Emergency Care

The Fed Begins Transition to Holding Fewer Policy Meetings a Year

What's happening to UK interest rates and what does it mean for mortgages?

Democrat Andrews Wins Historic Senate Race In South Carolina

Election stiffens the Fed's guardrails, but independence risks remain

Flouting Consumer Law, Insurers Refuse to Pay Medical Bills for Emergency Care

25 bps increase 78%

No change 21%

25 bps decrease 1%

50+ bps increase 1%

$16M Vol

Monthly

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic

Republican

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

What the midterms taught us about the future of the Democratic Party

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

What the midterms taught us about the future of the Democratic Party

Midterms over, Democrats plunge into wide-open 2028 presidential race

The 2028 Contenders Rising and Falling After Democrats’ Big Night

The 2028 election season begins as both parties navigate midterm fallout

2028 Democratic Presidential Primary: Latest Polls

What the midterms taught us about the future of the Democratic Party

Democratic 68%

Republican 33%

$3M Vol

Ends Nov 8, 2028·

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down

November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Up5.41x Down1.07x

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

ghachu

you can like only one comment a time

skibidi-dibidi

porn is healthier than this shiii

lotboy

This market was made for the bots to milk us humans

Cardenas

I've been studying this market for several hours now... My conclusion is that it can go UP or DOWN. Very interesting.

It-aint-much

I refreshed like 500 times today :D

$14M Vol

Live

All markets

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 2027

27%

Yes27%No74%

December 31, 2026

Yes8%No92%

June 30, 2027

27%

Yes27%No74%

December 31, 2026

Yes8%No92%

$3M Vol.

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

19%

Down

Live

ANTAnthropic Pre-IPO

$1,676.8-3.69%10xPerps

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pete Hegseth

43%

Yes43%No58%

Susie Wiles

40%

Yes40%No61%

Pete Hegseth

43%

Yes43%No58%

Susie Wiles

40%

Yes40%No61%

$2M Vol.

Monthly

Karmine Corp

18%

83%

Karmine

$1M Vol.

·LoL

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Jon Ossoff

21%

JD Vance

20%

Jon Ossoff

21%

JD Vance

20%

$734M Vol.

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

November 5

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 6

94%

Yes94%No6%

November 5

99%

Yes99%No<1%

November 6

94%

Yes94%No6%

$1M Vol.

$500K rewards

LoL Worlds
Odds & Predictions

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola (D)

98%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

Mary Peltola (D)

98%

Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)

$7M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

Scott Colom (D)

98%

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)

$6M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

67%

Yes67%No33%

Benjamin Netanyahu

21%

Gadi Eizenkot

67%

Yes67%No33%

Benjamin Netanyahu

21%

$88M Vol.

Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?

November 14

66%

Yes66%No34%

November 12

36%

Yes36%No65%

November 14

66%

Yes66%No34%

November 12

36%

Yes36%No65%

NEW

$56K Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase

78%

Yes78%No23%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

25 bps increase

78%

Yes78%No23%

No change

21%

Yes21%No80%

$16M Vol.

Monthly

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

42%

chance

Yes

$2M Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

June 30, 2027

37%

December 31, 2027

56%

Yes56%No44%

June 30, 2027

37%

$1M Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5–$1.75T

26%

Yes26%No74%

$1.25–$1.5T

20%

$1.5–$1.75T

26%

Yes26%No74%

$1.25–$1.5T

20%

$4M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Jon Ossoff

28%

Yes28%No72%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No83%

Jon Ossoff

28%

Yes28%No72%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

18%

Yes18%No83%

$1B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

39%

Yes39%No61%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

J.D. Vance

39%

Yes39%No61%

Marco Rubio

19%

Yes19%No81%

$729M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

November 3

100%

November 4

100%

$47M Vol.

NC-03 House Election Winner

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

80%

Yes80%No20%

Greg Murphy (R)

20%

Raymond Smith Jr. (D)

80%

Yes80%No20%

Greg Murphy (R)

20%

$1M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

97%

97%

$943K Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

chance

Yes

$590K Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31

73%

Yes73%No27%

December 31

42%

Yes42%No58%

March 31

73%

Yes73%No27%

December 31

42%

Yes42%No58%

$48M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

45%

Yes45%No55%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

Marine Le Pen

45%

Yes45%No55%

David Lisnard

15%

Yes15%No85%

$167M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31

37%

November 30

19%

December 31

37%

November 30

19%

$4M Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on November 6?

68,000

100%

70,000

100%

68,000

100%

70,000

100%

$2M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Weekly

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 31

100%

November 2

100%

October 31

100%

November 2

100%

$42M Vol.

Monthly

Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

300-319

98%

320-339

Yes2%No99%

300-319

98%

320-339

Yes2%No99%

$3M Vol.

Weekly

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Ken Paxton

100%

Mark Carney

10%

Yes10%No90%

Ken Paxton

100%

Mark Carney

10%

Yes10%No90%

$845K Vol.

Monthly

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

↑ 77,500

79%

Yes79%No22%

↓ 72,500

66%

Yes66%No35%

↑ 77,500

79%

Yes79%No22%

↓ 72,500

66%

Yes66%No35%

$4M Vol.

·Bitcoin

Monthly

Worlds 2026: Winner

Gen.G

54%

Yes54%No47%

Bilibili Gaming

24%

Yes24%No76%

Gen.G

54%

Yes54%No47%

Bilibili Gaming

24%

Yes24%No76%

$12M Vol.

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona

24%

Yes24%No77%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%

Barcelona

24%

Yes24%No77%

Paris Saint-Germain

19%