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Combining splice-effect prediction with expression-outlier detection (FRASER2 + OUTRIDER): independent evidence or double-counting? #678
Title: Combining splice-effect prediction with expression-outlier detection (FRASER2 + OUTRIDER): independent evidence or double-counting?
Posting this at Julien's suggestion, so the answer is discoverable rather than sitting in
an inbox. Question was asked by email; the reply is quoted below with permission.
Question
I'm an engineer working on genomic variant interpretation. We've built a pipeline that
runs SpliceAI-style splice prediction and FRASER/OUTRIDER-style expression outlier
detection as one module inside a deterministic ACMG classification system.
I've read the DROP pipeline papers closely and hit something I can't resolve from the
paper alone.
Is combining splice-effect prediction with expression-outlier detection statistically
sound, or are we at risk of double-counting the same underlying signal?
Answer (Julien Gagneur)
My short answer: FRASER2 is based on a fraction of reads (split reads over all reads
related to either the donor or the acceptor), which roughly controls for expression
level. Hence one could argue this an orthogonal analysis.
I would refrain to state that this is correct from a statistical point of view.
Variations in expression levels affect splicing outlier detection: if a gene is at a
lower level of expression then calling aberrant splicing is more difficult to do. This
happens in practice: when aberrant splicing triggers NMD, genes get down-regulated.
Those genes may not be called by FRASER because there is not enough reads to make the
call, yet can be called by OUTRIDER. This situation is frequent.
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