Editor's Selection.
Books
Papers general
Causal Discovery
Simpson's Paradox
Machine Learning
Fairness
Physics
Thesis
Reviews
Software
Datasets
MOOCs
Blog Posts
Quotes
Video Lectures.
Academics.
Communities
Repeating from other sections, Highly important
Order from beginner to advanced.
-
Judea Pearl and Mackenzie.
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect (2018).
amzn | Pearl's additional links -
The Seven Tools of Causal Inference, with Reflections on Machine Learning.
Judea Pearl.
Communications of the ACM, March 2019, Vol. 62 No. 3, Pages 54-60.
url
pdf-reprint.
interview. -
Causal Inference: History, Perspectives, Adventures, and Unification (An Interview with Judea Pearl).
Observational Studies, 8, 2, (2022), p1-14.
url | pdf. -
Pearl, Glymour and Jewell.
Causal Inference in Statistics: A Primer (2016).
amzn.
Ch4-pdf.
tweet-solution-manual.
Self-study by Bruno Goncalves github -
Nobel Memorial Economics Prize 2021 on causal discovery, scientific summary.
Answering Causal Questions Using Observational Data. (2021)
(David Card, Joshua Angrist, and Guido Imbens)
pdf. -
Causality, determinism, and physics.
Julio Geo-Banacloche.
American Journal of Physics 90, 809 (2022); doi. -
Causal diagrams for empirical research.
Judea Pearl (1995).
jstor | pdf-UCLA.
Reasoning on Graphs: d-seperation, back/front-door
-
Paul W. Holland.
Statistics and Causal Inference.
Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Dec., 1986, Vol. 81, No. 396 (Dec., 1986), pp. 945-960 jstor.
Reverse chronological order, both technical and popular.
-
Applied Causal Inference Powered by ML and AI
V. Chernozhukov, C. Hansen, N. Kallus, M. Spindler, V. Syrgkanis (2024)
offfical-web | pdf -
A Mathematical Introduction to Causality
Lecture Notes (2023) Patrick Forré and Joris M. Mooij UvA's-pdf -
A First Course in Causal Inference.
Peng Ding.
arXiv (2023) -
Applied Causal Inference
Uday Kamath, Kenneth Graham, Mitchell Naylor (2023)
online-version | lean-pub -
Causal Artificial Intelligence: The Next Step in Effective Business AI
Judith Hurwitz, John Thompson (2023) amz -
Causal Inference & Discovery in Python. (2023)
From Machine Learning & Pearlian Perspective. Aleksander Molak.
causalpython. | amz -
Causal Inference for Data Science.
Aleix Ruiz de Villa (2023) manning. -
Causal Analysis.
Impact Evaluation and Causal Machine Learning with Applications in R.
Martin Huber (2023).
MIT Press url | R package causalweight | R examples | academic page -
Causal Inference in Python.
Matheus Facure.
Oreilly (2023). -
Causal Inference for The Brave and True. (2022).
Matheus Facure.
e-book | github -
Probabilistic and Causal Inference: The Works of Judea Pearl. (2022)
Editors: Hector Geffner,Rina Dechter,Joseph Y. Halpern.
ACM Books doi. -
Microeconometrics using Stata: Volume 2: Nonlinear Models and Causal Inference Methods. (2022).
Cameron, A. C., and P. K. Trivedi.
Stata Press url -
Nick Huntington-Klein.
The Effect: An Introduction to Research Design and Causality (2021).
bookdown | amzn.
code-supplement | datasets-R. -
Causal Machine Learning.
Robert Ness (2022-).
in-progress | lecture notes -
Causal Inference, The Mixtape.
Scott Cunningham.
Yale University Press url | online-version (2021) -
Hernán & Robins.
Causal Inference: What If (2020).
CRC Press.
online | pdf.
python supplement -
Brady Neal.
Introduction to Causal Inference from a Machine Learning Perspective. (2020).
pdf -
Kohavi, Ron, Diane Tang, and Ya Xu.
Trustworthy Online Controlled Experiments: A Practical Guide to A/B Testing.
Cambridge University Press. www. (2020). -
Experimental Design : Causal Inference
Stefan Wager.
Class notes pdf. url. -
Pearl and Mackenzie.
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect (2018).
amzn | Pearl's additional links -
Rosenbaum.
Observation and Experiment: An Introduction to Causal Inference (2017).
amzn. -
Jonas Peters, Dominik Janzing and Bernhard Schoelkopf.
Elements of Causal Inference: Foundations and Learning Algorithms (2017).
mitpress | pdf. -
Pearl, Glymour and Jewell.
Causal Inference in Statistics: A Primer (2016).
amzn.
Ch4-pdf.
tweet-solution-manual.
Self-study by Bruno Goncalves github -
Mastering 'Metrics: The Path from Cause to Effect. (2015).
Angrist, J.D. and J.-S.Pischke.
Princeton University Press url -
Morgan & Winship.
Counterfactuals and Causal Inference (2nd edition) (2015).
amzn -
Causal Inference for Statistics, Social, and Biomedical Sciences.
An Introduction, Imbens & Rubin, (2015).
amzn. -
Why ask Why? Forward Causal Inference and Reverse Causal Questions.
Andrew Gelman & Guido Imbens
doi (2013) -
Inference and Intervention: Causal Models for Business Analysis.
Michael D. Ryall and Aaron L. Bramson (2013).
amzn -
Angrist & Pischke.
Mostly Harmless Econometrics (2009).
amzn.
princeton -
Probabilistic Graphical Models: Principles and Techniques.
Daphne Koller and Nir Friedman. (2009). MIT Press.
amzn.
mit -
Judea Perl.
Causality: Models, Reasoning and Inference (2009) 2nd Edition.
amzn. -
Fundamentals of statistical causality (2007).
C. A. P. Dawid.
pre-print research gate. -
Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications (2005).
Cameron, A. C., and P. K. Trivedi.
Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. amz.
Chapter-4: Instrumental Variables section Author's-copy. -
Rosenbaum.
Observational Studies (Springer Series in Statistics) 2nd Edition (2002).
amzn -
Causation, Prediction, and Search.
Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour and Richard Scheines.
2nd Edition (2001).
mit press | pdf-research-gate -
Structural Equations with Latent Variables.
Kenneth A. Bollen (1989).
wiley.
amzn.
-
Causal inference for time series
Jakob Runge et. al.
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment volume 4, pages 487–505 (2023)
doi -
A Measure-Theoretic Axiomatisation of Causality.
Junhyung Park, Simon Buchholz, Bernhard Schölkopf, Krikamol Muandet.
arXiv (2023). -
Double Machine Learning and Automated Confounder Selection -- A Cautionary Tale.
Paul Hünermund et. al. (2023) arXiv | talk | Journal of Causal Inference -
Causal Inference and Data-Fusion in Econometrics.
Paul Hünermund (Maastricht University), Elias Bareinboim (Columbia University).
arXiv:1912.09104. | The Econometrics Journal, 2023 -
Phenomenological Causality.
Dominik Janzing, Sergio Hernan Garrido Mejia (2022).
arXiv -
Personalized Decision Making -- A Conceptual Introduction Scott Mueller, Judea Pearl.
arXiv:2208.09558. (2022). -
Backtracking Counterfactuals.
Julius von Kügelgen, Abdirisak Mohamed, Sander Beckers.
arXiv (2022) -
Causal Entropy Optimization.
Nicola Branchini, Virginia Aglietti, Neil Dhir, Theodoros Damoulas.
arXiv. (2022). -
From Statistical to Causal Learning.
Bernhard Schölkopf, Julius von Kügelgen
arXiv (2022) -
Sensitivity Analysis of Individual Treatment Effects: A Robust Conformal Inference Approach.
Ying Jin, Zhimei Ren, Emmanuel J. Candès. (2021).
arXiv. | Rpackage -
A Survey on Causal Inference.
Yao et. al.
doi. (2021). -
Potential Outcome and Directed Acyclic Graph Approaches to Causality:
Relevance for Empirical Practice in Economics.
Guido W. Imbens.
Journal of Economic Literature (December 2020).
journal | arXiv | Pearl's response -
Synthetic Difference in Differences, 2019. Dmitry Arkhangelsky, Susan Athey, David A. Hirshberg, Guido W. Imbens, and Stefan Wager. arxiv:1812.09970
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Why Propensity Scores Should Not Be Used for Matching
King et. al.
Political Analysis, 27, 4, Pp. 435-454. (2019) url -
Detecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets.
Jakob Runge, Peer Nowack, Marlene Kretschmer, Seth Flaxman and Dino Sejdinovic. Science Advances 27 Nov 2019 Vol. 5, no. 11, eaau4996.
doi -
The Seven Tools of Causal Inference, with Reflections on Machine Learning.
Judea Pearl.
Communications of the ACM, March 2019, Vol. 62 No. 3, Pages 54-60.
url
pdf-reprint. interview. -
A Meta-Transfer Objective for Learning to Disentangle Causal Mechanisms.
Yoshua Bengio, Tristan Deleu, Nasim Rahaman, Rosemary Ke, Sébastien Lachapelle, Olexa Bilaniuk, Anirudh Goyal, Christopher Pal.
arXiv:1901.10912 -
Theoretical Impediments to Machine Learning With Seven Sparks from the Causal Revolution.
Judea Pearl.
arXiv:1801.04016 -
Automated versus do-it-yourself methods for causal inference:
Lessons learned from a data analysis competition.
Vincent Dorie†, Jennifer Hill, Uri Shalit, Marc Scott, and Dan Cervone.
arXiv:1707.02641 -
Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameters.
Victor Chernozhukov et. al. (2017).
arXiv. | EC-journal -
Quantum-Like Bayesian Networks for Modeling Decision Making.
Catarina Moreira and Andreas Wichert. Front. Psychol., 26 January 2016. doi -
The Sure-Thing Principle.
Judea Pearl (2016).
pdf -
Brodersen KH, Gallusser F, Koehler J, Remy N, Scott SL.
Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models.
Annals of Applied Statistics, (2015), Vol. 9, No. 1, 247-274.
url -
Linear Models: A Useful “Microscope” for Causal Analysis.
Journal of Causal Inference 2013; 1(1): 155–170.
Judea Pearl.
doi pdf -
Introduction to Judea Pearl's Do-Calculus.
Robert R. Tucci. (2013) arXiv:1305.5506 -
The Do-Calculus Revisited.
Judea Pearl.
Keynote AI Uncertainy Conference (2012).
pdf -
Detecting causality in complex ecosystems.
George Sugihara, Robert May, Hao Ye, Chih-hao Hsieh, Ethan Deyle, Michael Fogarty, Stephan Munch.
Science Oct 26;338(6106):496-500 (2012).
doi.
convergent cross-mapping
-
Introduction to Causal Inference.
Peter Spirtes.
(2010)
jmlr. -
Transfer entropy—a model-free measure of effective connectivity for the neurosciences.
Vicente et. al.
J Comput Neurosci (2011) 30:45–67.
pdf. -
Causal inference in statistics: An overview.
Judea Pearl. (2009).
doi. -
The Neyman— Rubin Model of Causal Inference and Estimation Via Matching Methods.
Jasjeet Sekhon.
The Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology.
doi | pdf-preprint -
Econometric Causality.
James J. Heckman.
International Statistical Review (2008), 76, 1, 1–27.
doi. -
Causal Inference Using Potential Outcomes: Design, Modeling, Decisions.
Donald B. Rubin.
Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Vol. 100, No. 469 (Mar., 2005), pp. 322-331.
jstor.
pdf-tandfonline -
The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country
Alberto Abadie, Javier Gardeazabal
American Economic Review, Vol. 93, No.1, pp 113-132 (2003) |
doi | baylor-pdf -
Time Series Analysis, Cointegration, and applications.
Nobel Lecture of Clive Granger.
(2003)
pdf -
Causal Complexity and the Study of Politics.
Bear Braumoeller.
Political Analysis 198(11):209-233 (2003).
doi.
researchgate-url. -
Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables
Joshua D. Angrist, Guido W. Imbens and Donald B. Rubin
Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA) Vol. 91, No. 434 (Jun., 1996) jstor | pdf-McGillpotential outcomes
-
Causal diagrams for empirical research.
Judea Pearl (1995).
jstor | pdf-UCLA.Reasoning on Graphs: d-seperation, back/front-door
-
Identification and Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects.
Joshua D. Angrist & Guido W. Imbens.
nber (1995). Econometrica, 6, 2,467-476. (1994) jstor | pdf-Baylor -
Paul W. Holland.
Statistics and Causal Inference.
Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Dec., 1986, Vol. 81, No. 396 (Dec., 1986), pp. 945-960 jstor. -
Rubin, D. B. (1974)
Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies.
Journal of Educational Psychology, 66(5), 688-701.
doi -
Haavelmo, T. (1943).
The statistical implications of a system of simultaneous equations.
Econometrica, 11, 1–12.
jstorJudea Pearls comment on Haavelmo.
Econometric Theory , Volume 31 , Issue 1: Haavelmo Memorial Issue: Part One , February 2015 , pp. 152 - 179 doi. -
Wright, S. (1921)
Correlation and causation.
J. Agricultural Research. 20: 557–585. -
Wright, S. (1934).
The method of path coefficients.
Annals of Mathematical Statistics. 5 (3): 161–215.
doi
-
An Introduction to Causal Discovery
Martin Huber, A bonus chapter (2023)
pdf-academic-page -
Causal Discovery and Prediction: Methods and Algorithms
Gilles Blondel (Thesis) (2023)
arXiv -
On the Interventional Kullback-Leibler Divergence. Jonas Wildberger, Siyuan Guo, Arnab Bhattacharyya, Bernhard Schölkopf.
arXiv (2023). -
Causal Structure Learning: a Combinatorial Perspective.
Chandler Squires, Caroline Uhler. (2022).
arXiv. -
Deep End-to-end Causal Inference.
Tomas Geffner, Javier Antoran, Adam Foster, Wenbo Gong,
Chao Ma, Emre Kiciman, Amit Sharma, Angus Lamb, Martin Kukla,
Nick Pawlowski, Miltiadis Allamanis, Cheng Zhang.
arXiv (2022).
github-deci -
Learning to Induce Causal Structure.
Nan Rosemary Ke, Silvia Chiappa, Jane Wang, Jorg Bornschein, Theophane Weber,
Anirudh Goyal, Matthew Botvinic, Michael Mozer, Danilo Jimenez Rezende.
arXiv (2022). -
Discovering Causal Structure with Reproducing-Kernel Hilbert Space ε-Machines.
Nicolas Brodu, James P. Crutchfield. arXiv (2021). -
Nobel Memorial Economics Prize 2021 on causal discovery, scientific summary.
Answering Causal Questions Using Observational Data. (2021)
(David Card, Joshua Angrist, and Guido Imbens)
pdf. -
Causal network reconstruction from time series: From theoretical assumptions to practical estimation.
J. Runge.
Chaos 28, 075310 (2018).
DOI. -
Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inference.
Fredrik D. Johansson, Uri Shalit, David Sontag.
ICML 2016, arXiv. -
Causal Discovery via Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space Embeddings
Zhitang Chen, Kun Zhang, Laiwan Chan, Bernhard Schölkopf
Neural Computation 26, 1484–1517 (2014).
doi -
Cosma Shalizi's notebook causal discovery algorithms.
-
Learning to Discover Various Simpson's Paradoxes
Jingwei Wang, Jianshan He, Weidi Xu, Ruopeng Li, Wei Chu
KDD '23: Proceedings of the 29th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining
August 2023, Pages 5092–5103 doi | git-repository -
A toolbox to demystify probabilistic and statistical paradoxes.
Kelter R, Schnurr A and Spies S (2023)
Front. Educ. 8:1212419. doi | author-pdf -
Pearl, J. (2014). Comment: understanding Simpson’s paradox. Am. Stat. 68, 8–13. doi: 10.1080/00031305.2014.876829
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Simpson's Paradox: An Anatomy
Judea Pearl (1999). UCLA Technical-Report -
On Simpson's Paradox and the Sure-Thing Principle.
Colin R. Blyth.
Journal of the American Statistical Association.
Vol. 67, No. 338 (Jun., 1972), pp. 364-366. doi -
The interpretation of interaction in contingency tables.
Simpson, E. H. (1951).
J. Royal Stat. Soc. 13, 238–241. doi
Including games, reinforcement or deep learning.
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Invariant Causal Knowledge Distillation in Neural Networks Nikolaos Giakoumoglou, Tania Stathaki arXiv (2024)
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Peer-induced Fairness: A Causal Approach for Algorithmic Fairness Auditing Shiqi Fang, Zexun Chen, Jake Ansell arXiv (2024)
-
Causally Abstracted Multi-armed Bandits
Fabio Massimo Zennaro et. al.
arXiv (2024) -
Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes
Stefan Feuerriegel et. al.
url (2023) -
Causal machine learning for single-cell genomics
Alejandro Tejada-Lapuerta, Paul Bertin, Stefan Bauer, Hananeh Aliee, Yoshua Bengio, Fabian J. Theis
arXiv (2023) -
Estimating categorical counterfactuals via deep twin networks
Athanasios Vlontzos, Bernhard Kainz & Ciarán M. Gilligan-Lee
Nature Machine Intelligence volume 5, pages 159–168 (2023) nature | arXiv -
Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causality
Emre Kıcıman, Robert Ness, Amit Sharma, Chenhao Tan arXiv (2023) -
Causal Reinforcement Learning: A Survey
Zhihong Deng, Jing Jiang, Guodong Long, Chengqi Zhang arXiv (2023) -
Causal Component Analysis.
Wendong Liang et. al.
arXiv (2023). -
Double Machine Learning and Automated Confounder Selection -- A Cautionary Tale.
Paul Hünermund et. al. (2023) arXiv | talk | Journal of Causal Inference -
Causal Deep Learning.
Jeroen Berrevoets, Krzysztof Kacprzyk, Zhaozhi Qian, Mihaela van der Schaar. (2023) arXiv. -
A Survey on Causal Reinforcement Learning Yan Zeng et. al. arXiv (2023)
-
Reasoning about Causality in Games.
Lewis Hammond, James Fox, Tom Everitt, Ryan Carey, Alessandro Abate, Michael Wooldridge. (2023).
arXiv. -
Evaluating Uses of Deep Learning Methods for Causal Inference.
Albert Whata; Charles Chimedza.
ieee. (2022) -
Causal Reinforcement Learning using Observational and Interventional Data.
Maxime Gasse, Damien Grasset, Guillaume Gaudron, Pierre-Yves Oudeyer.
arXiv:2106.14421 (2021) -
Causal Reinforcement Learning, ICML 2020 url
-
Sample-Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Counterfactual-Based Data Augmentation.
Chaochao Lu, Biwei Huang, Ke Wang, José Miguel Hernández-Lobato, Kun Zhang, Bernhard Schölkopf. (2020).
arXiv:2012.09092 -
Causality for Machine Learning.
Bernhard Schölkopf.
arXiv:1911.10500 -
Causal Inference and Uplift Modelling: A Review of the Literature.
Pierre Gutierrez, Jean-Yves Gérardy ; Proceedings of The 3rd International
Conference on Predictive Applications and APIs, PMLR 67:1-13, 2017.
url
-
Survey on Causal-based Machine Learning Fairness Notions.
Karima Makhlouf, Sami Zhioua, Catuscia Palamidessi.
arXiv (2020). -
Causal Modeling of Twitter Activity during COVID-19
Gencoglu, Oguzhan, and Mathias Gruber. (2020).
Computation 8, no. 4: 85. doi. -
Achieving Causal Fairness in Machine Learning.
Wu, Yongkai. University of Arkansas, ProQuest Dissertations Publishing, 2020. 27960037.
url -
Causal Bayesian Networks (2019).
blog-deepmind. -
A Causal Bayesian Networks Viewpoint on Fairness.
Silvia Chiappa, William S. Isaac (2019).
arXiv:1907.06430 -
Zhang, J., & Bareinboim, E. (2018).
Fairness in Decision-Making — The Causal Explanation Formula.
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 32(1).
doi. -
Counterfactual Fairness.
Kusner et. al.
NeurIPs 2017 pdf -
Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPR
Sandra Wachter, Brent Mittelstadt, Chris Russell
arXiv (2017).
-
H-Theorem do-conjecture
M. Suzen
arXiv:2310.01458. | code -
Causality, determinism, and physics.
Julio Geo-Banacloche.
American Journal of Physics 90, 809 (2022); doi. -
Arrow of Causality and Quantum Gravity.
John F. Donoghue and Gabriel Menezes.
Phys. Rev. Lett. 123, 171601
url -
The causal set approach to quantum gravity.
Sumati Surya
Living Reviews in Relativity volume 22, Article number: 5 (2019).
url. -
Algorithmic independence of initial condition and dynamical law in thermodynamics and causal inference.
Dominik Janzing et al 2016 New J. Phys. 18 093052.
url-open-access. -
Quantum causality.
Brukner, Časlav.
Nature Physics, Volume 10, Issue 4, pp. 259-263 (2014).
doi | yale-pdf -
Causal Entropic Forces.
A. D. Wissner-Gross and C. E. Freer.
Phys. Rev. Lett. 110, 168702. (2013).
url. -
Resource Letter CD-1: Causality and determinism in physics.
R. Jones.
Am. J. Phys. 64, 208–215 (1996). doi. -
Space-time as a causal set.
Luca Bombelli, Joohan Lee, David Meyer, and Rafael D. Sorkin.
Phys. Rev. Lett. 59, 521 (1987).
url -
The class of continuous timelike curves determines the topology of spacetime.
David B. Malament.
Journal of Mathematical Physics 18, 1399 (1977).
doi.
PhD thesis on causality.
-
Causality in Point Processes
McGovern, Ian
PhD Thesis, Los Angeles, url (2024) -
Identifiable Causal Representation Learning
Unsupervised, Multi-View, and Multi-Environment
Julius von Kügelgen
PhD Thesis, Cambridge doi (2023) -
Explainable Reinforcement Learning Through a Causal Lens.
Prashan Madumal.
PhD thesis, Melbourne pdf | aaai. (2021).
- Causal Inference in the Social Sciences
Guido W. Imbens
url (2024)
-
Causal-learn: Causal Discovery in Python
Spirtes & CMU & Team
arXiv | repo -
Tigramite – Causal inference and causal discovery for time series datasets.
github -
The Causal Discovery Toolbox (CDT)
A package for causal inference in graphs and in the pairwise settings.
github. | arXiv -
LinGAM Discovery of non-gaussian linear causal models github | software paper | original paper
-
PyPhi: A toolbox for integrated information theory.
pypi.
arXiv1712.09644 -
Causal-tune github.
-
Huawei's gCastle is a causal structure learning toolchain github-repo
-
PyWhy organisation github.
DoWhy evolves to independent PyWhy model to help causal inference grow | aws-blog -
DoWhy is a Python library for causal inference.
github | Paper-arXiv. -
EconML.
EconML is a Python package for estimating heterogeneous treatment
effects from observational data via machine learning.
github -
Azua/DECI.
github
github-DECI-moduleDeep End-to-end Causal Inference
-
ShowWhy.
UI on top of DoWhy, EconML github -
Causica : DECI: End to End Causal Inference
github -
Causal-learn: Causal Discovery in Python
Spirtes & CMU & Team
arXiv | repo -
llm experimental pywhy-llm
-
DoubleML in Python/R package github. | JSS-article
-
CausalML: A Python Package for Uplift Modeling and Causal Inference with ML.
github | software X paper -
An R package for causal inference using Bayesian structural time-series models
CausalImpact. CRAN.
github-python-port.
paper.
causalimpact-tf Re-write with tensorflow probability -
upliftml : Uplift modelling, Booking.com github
-
IBM's causalib Python package github
-
(synthdid: Synthetic Difference in Differences Estimation)[https://synth-inference.github.io/synthdid/index.html].
R-package
-
DAGitty — draw and analyze causal diagrams url
-
CausalQueries: Make, Update, and Query Binary Causal Models
CRAN | book: Causal Models: Guide to CausalQueries -
pgmpy is a pure python implementation for Bayesian Networks www | Paper-ArXiv |
-
causaleffect: Deriving Expressions of Joint Interventional Distributions and Transport Formulas in Causal Models.
CRAN. -
PyCID: Causal Influence Diagrams library github Relevant to PyCID : A python library for 2 player games nashpy
-
CausalNex A toolkit for causal reasoning with Bayesian Networks from Quantumblack.
-
Tetrad Project: Graphical Causal Models
url
- R Universe: CRAN Task View Causal Inference
-
R causaldata
Nick Huntington-Klein, Malcolm Barrett
Example dataset from some of the Causality textbooks
github | cran -
Distinguishing Cause from Effect Using Observational Data: Methods and Benchmarks.
Joris M. Mooij, Jonas Peters, Dominik Janzing, Jakob Zscheischler, Bernhard Schölkopf;
17(32):1−102, (2016). jmlr-paper.
Database with cause-effect pairs url.
-
Mixtape sessions url
Free Course Material -
A Crash Course in Causality: Inferring Causal Effects from Observational Data.
url -
Measuring Causal Effects in the Social Sciences.
url -
Probabilistic Graphical Models Specialization.
Daphne Koller.
url
-
Resolving disputes between J. Pearl and D. Rubin on causal inference.
Gelman (2009) url.
Follow ups 1 2 3 -
Judea Pearl on Potential Outcomes.
url -
Judea Pearl, model vs. model-free :
"...no “causal interpretation” is needed for parameters that are intrinsically causal..."
url.
Including interviews.
-
Causal Inference: History, Perspectives, Adventures, and Unification (An Interview with Judea Pearl).
Observational Studies, 8, 2, 2022, p1-14.
url | pdf. -
Interview with Don Rubin.
Observational Studies (2022).
url. -
A Conversation with A. Philip Dawid (2023) arXiv
Prediction and Causation
-
" Actually correlation lets you make predictions in many cases, assuming you're making prediction about the world as reflected in your data. For example, correlations between photos and their labels allows you usually to make predictions about new photos.
The problem gets difficult if you want to predict the effects of actions taken in a different manner from that which exists in your data. For example, if you want to consider different treatment strategies for cancer using data from past cancer patients, only correlations will usually not suffice as you're trying to predict counterfactual that might not exist in your data." Uri Shalit, Technion (Forum Communication 01/2018)
Rubin vs. Pearl
- " Rubin and Pearl are kind of "academic enemies".
Though neither completely dismisses the other,
they both make snide remarks about the other's work.
Pearl shows in his book exactly how Neyman-Rubin
potential outcomes can be derived from causal graphs.
As far as I know Rubin never really makes an
attempt to address Pearl's ideas directly.
However, Rubin, being a statistician, made
significant contributions to the practice of real-world
causal inference, which go beyond Pearl's interests.
Jamie Robins also made seminal contributions to this subject.
You can read some of the debate on Andrew Gelman's blog
here
Pearl writes in the comment section and in that blog
post there are links to follow up posts. " Uri Shalit, Technion (Forum Communication 01/2018)
On the Pearl's Philosopy
- "..while Pearl's work is foundational, and its importance
cannot be overstated, his published work is often insufficient in addressing the real-world problems of many data scientists. The reason is that Pearl is mostly concerned with the problem of identification, i.e. which data generating processes allow us to infer causation from observed data. He is less concerned with the statistical problem of actually inferring these purported causal relationships from data. This is especially true if the data is high-dimensional or noisy (Pearl usually considers a few binary or Gaussian variables)." Uri Shalit, Technion (Forum Communication 01/2018)
including discussions
- 2022 Causal Data Science.
Elias Bareinboim (@ 1st Workshop on Interactive Causal Learning) youtube. - 2022 The Arrow of Time in Causal Networks Sean Carroll, Simons Intitute Talk youtube
- Judea Pearl: Causal Reasoning, Counterfactuals, and the Path to AGI | Lex Fridman Podcast #56.
Dec 11, 2019 yt. - 2016 The Mathematics of Causal Inference: with Reflections on Machine Learning.
Judea Pearl, Microsoft Research. youtube. - 2015 Toward Causal Machine Learning.
Bernhard Schölkopf, youtube - 2012 Causal Inference Conference Featuring Judea Pearl youtube.
Judea Pearl's "The Mathematics of Causal Inference: Use it or Lose It"
- Judea Pearl.
- Clark Glymour.
- Peter Spirtes
- Richard Scheines
- Elias Bareinboim.
- Donald B. Rubin.
- Joshua Angrist.
- Guido W. Imbens.
- Andrew Gelman.
- David Card.
- Bernhard Schölkopf.
- Joris M. Mooij.
- Dominik Janzing.
- Uri Shalit.
- Causal Science
- Are Large Language Models Simply Causal Parrots?
Annual AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence 2024 url - Counterfactual reasoning: From minds to machines to practical applications.
ICML Workshop url (2023) - Neurips 2023: Causal Representation Learning (CRL) url